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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zbandut, Anastasiia, Goldstein, Carolina
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.17579
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author Zbandut, Anastasiia
Goldstein, Carolina
author_facet Zbandut, Anastasiia
Goldstein, Carolina
contents We derive five tractable credit risk metrics for DeFi lending vault depositors, grounded in a formal three level decomposition of vault risk into mechanical loss channels (Level 1), governance quality (Level 2) and smart contract code integrity (Level 3). For Level 1, we show that six structural features of onchain execution (oracle execution divergence, endogenous recovery, full information run dynamics, timelock constrained governance, oracle manipulation and congestion driven liquidation failure) break canonical TradFi analogies and generate depositor loss channels absent from standard credit frameworks. Vault credit risk metrics translate these channels into measurable risk components which are aggregated into a vault credit score. The empirical contribution is an implementable estimation architecture for credit risk metrics, including required onchain data, identification strategies for core parameters, partial identification bounds and a coherent stress scenario methodology. The results have direct implications for vault risk management and for minimum transparency standards necessary for depositor risk assessment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_17579
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Vault as a credit instrument
Zbandut, Anastasiia
Goldstein, Carolina
Risk Management
Mathematical Finance
We derive five tractable credit risk metrics for DeFi lending vault depositors, grounded in a formal three level decomposition of vault risk into mechanical loss channels (Level 1), governance quality (Level 2) and smart contract code integrity (Level 3). For Level 1, we show that six structural features of onchain execution (oracle execution divergence, endogenous recovery, full information run dynamics, timelock constrained governance, oracle manipulation and congestion driven liquidation failure) break canonical TradFi analogies and generate depositor loss channels absent from standard credit frameworks. Vault credit risk metrics translate these channels into measurable risk components which are aggregated into a vault credit score. The empirical contribution is an implementable estimation architecture for credit risk metrics, including required onchain data, identification strategies for core parameters, partial identification bounds and a coherent stress scenario methodology. The results have direct implications for vault risk management and for minimum transparency standards necessary for depositor risk assessment.
title Vault as a credit instrument
topic Risk Management
Mathematical Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.17579