Random Matrix Theory of Early-Stopped Gradient Flow: A Transient BBP Scenario

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Hauptverfasser: Coeurdoux, Florentin, Ferré, Grégoire, Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Coeurdoux, Florentin
Ferré, Grégoire
Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe
author_facet Coeurdoux, Florentin
Ferré, Grégoire
Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe
contents Empirical studies of trained models often report a transient regime in which signal is detectable in a finite gradient descent time window before overfitting dominates. We provide an analytically tractable random-matrix model that reproduces this phenomenon for gradient flow in a linear teacher--student setting. In this framework, learning occurs when an isolated eigenvalue separates from a noisy bulk, before eventually disappearing in the overfitting regime. The key ingredient is anisotropy in the input covariance, which induces fast and slow directions in the learning dynamics. In a two-block covariance model, we derive the full time-dependent bulk spectrum of the symmetrized weight matrix through a $2\times 2$ Dyson equation, and we obtain an explicit outlier condition for a rank-one teacher via a rank-two determinant formula. This yields a transient Baik-Ben Arous-Péché (BBP) transition: depending on signal strength and covariance anisotropy, the teacher spike may never emerge, emerge and persist, or emerge only during an intermediate time interval before being reabsorbed into the bulk. We map the corresponding phase diagrams and validate the theory against finite-size simulations. Our results provide a minimal solvable mechanism for early stopping as a transient spectral effect driven by anisotropy and noise.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_18450
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Random Matrix Theory of Early-Stopped Gradient Flow: A Transient BBP Scenario
Coeurdoux, Florentin
Ferré, Grégoire
Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe
Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
Empirical studies of trained models often report a transient regime in which signal is detectable in a finite gradient descent time window before overfitting dominates. We provide an analytically tractable random-matrix model that reproduces this phenomenon for gradient flow in a linear teacher--student setting. In this framework, learning occurs when an isolated eigenvalue separates from a noisy bulk, before eventually disappearing in the overfitting regime. The key ingredient is anisotropy in the input covariance, which induces fast and slow directions in the learning dynamics. In a two-block covariance model, we derive the full time-dependent bulk spectrum of the symmetrized weight matrix through a $2\times 2$ Dyson equation, and we obtain an explicit outlier condition for a rank-one teacher via a rank-two determinant formula. This yields a transient Baik-Ben Arous-Péché (BBP) transition: depending on signal strength and covariance anisotropy, the teacher spike may never emerge, emerge and persist, or emerge only during an intermediate time interval before being reabsorbed into the bulk. We map the corresponding phase diagrams and validate the theory against finite-size simulations. Our results provide a minimal solvable mechanism for early stopping as a transient spectral effect driven by anisotropy and noise.
title Random Matrix Theory of Early-Stopped Gradient Flow: A Transient BBP Scenario
topic Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.18450