Locally parametric nonparametric density estimation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Hjort, Nils Lid, Jones, M. C.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Hjort, Nils Lid
Jones, M. C.
author_facet Hjort, Nils Lid
Jones, M. C.
contents This paper develops a nonparametric density estimator with parametric overtones. Suppose $f(x,θ)$ is some family of densities, indexed by a vector of parameters $θ$. We define a local kernel smoothed likelihood function which for each $x$ can be used to estimate the best local parametric approximant to the true density. This leads to a new density estimator of the form $f(x,\hatθ(x))$, thus inserting the best local parameter estimate for each new value of $x$. When the bandwidth used is large this amounts to ordinary full likelihood parametric density estimation, while for moderate and small bandwidths the method is essentially nonparametric, using only local properties of data and the model. Alternative ways more general than via the local likelihood are also described. The methods can be seen as ways of nonparametrically smoothing the parameter within a parametric class. Properties of this new semiparametric estimator are investigated. Our preferred version has approximately the same variance as the ordinary kernel method but potentially a smaller bias. The new method is seen to perform better than the traditional kernel method in a broad nonparametric vicinity of the parametric model employed, while at the same time being capable of not losing much in precision to full likelihood methods when the model is correct. Other versions of the method are equivalent to using particular higher order kernels in a semiparametric framework. The methodology we develop can be seen as the density estimation parallel to local likelihood and local weighted least squares theory in nonparametric regression.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_18657
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Locally parametric nonparametric density estimation
Hjort, Nils Lid
Jones, M. C.
Methodology
This paper develops a nonparametric density estimator with parametric overtones. Suppose $f(x,θ)$ is some family of densities, indexed by a vector of parameters $θ$. We define a local kernel smoothed likelihood function which for each $x$ can be used to estimate the best local parametric approximant to the true density. This leads to a new density estimator of the form $f(x,\hatθ(x))$, thus inserting the best local parameter estimate for each new value of $x$. When the bandwidth used is large this amounts to ordinary full likelihood parametric density estimation, while for moderate and small bandwidths the method is essentially nonparametric, using only local properties of data and the model. Alternative ways more general than via the local likelihood are also described. The methods can be seen as ways of nonparametrically smoothing the parameter within a parametric class. Properties of this new semiparametric estimator are investigated. Our preferred version has approximately the same variance as the ordinary kernel method but potentially a smaller bias. The new method is seen to perform better than the traditional kernel method in a broad nonparametric vicinity of the parametric model employed, while at the same time being capable of not losing much in precision to full likelihood methods when the model is correct. Other versions of the method are equivalent to using particular higher order kernels in a semiparametric framework. The methodology we develop can be seen as the density estimation parallel to local likelihood and local weighted least squares theory in nonparametric regression.
title Locally parametric nonparametric density estimation
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.18657