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Main Authors: Guo, Yuanchuan, Lin, Buyu, Liu, Jun S.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.19517
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author Guo, Yuanchuan
Lin, Buyu
Liu, Jun S.
author_facet Guo, Yuanchuan
Lin, Buyu
Liu, Jun S.
contents In the FDR-controlling literature, mirror statistics offer a flexible alternative to $p$-value based procedures. When prior information is available, however, it is unclear how to incorporate mirror statistics in a principled way, and the standard equal split used by data-splitting methods can be inefficient. In this paper, we characterize a broader class of mirror statistics for any fixed splitting scheme and establish asymptotic FDR control under mild weak-dependence conditions using a two-stage procedure inspired by \cite{li2021whiteout}. Within this class, we derive a Bayes-optimal mirror statistic. Theoretically, we demonstrate its power advantage through analyses in the Rare/Weak signal model. Building upon this Bayes-optimal mirror statistic, we propose \textsc{PRADAS} (PRior-Assisted DAta Splitting) that treats split ratio as a stopping time and recasts the data-splitting as an optional stopping over a natural filtration; the optimal stopping rule is characterized by the Snell envelope and computed efficiently via a Longstaff--Schwartz regression approximation. Both simulations and real data examples demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed framework.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_19517
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle PRADAS: PRior-Assisted DAta Splitting for False Discovery Rate Control
Guo, Yuanchuan
Lin, Buyu
Liu, Jun S.
Methodology
In the FDR-controlling literature, mirror statistics offer a flexible alternative to $p$-value based procedures. When prior information is available, however, it is unclear how to incorporate mirror statistics in a principled way, and the standard equal split used by data-splitting methods can be inefficient. In this paper, we characterize a broader class of mirror statistics for any fixed splitting scheme and establish asymptotic FDR control under mild weak-dependence conditions using a two-stage procedure inspired by \cite{li2021whiteout}. Within this class, we derive a Bayes-optimal mirror statistic. Theoretically, we demonstrate its power advantage through analyses in the Rare/Weak signal model. Building upon this Bayes-optimal mirror statistic, we propose \textsc{PRADAS} (PRior-Assisted DAta Splitting) that treats split ratio as a stopping time and recasts the data-splitting as an optional stopping over a natural filtration; the optimal stopping rule is characterized by the Snell envelope and computed efficiently via a Longstaff--Schwartz regression approximation. Both simulations and real data examples demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed framework.
title PRADAS: PRior-Assisted DAta Splitting for False Discovery Rate Control
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.19517