Stochastic Networked Governance: Bridging Econophysics and Institutional Dynamics in a Positive-Sum Agent-Based Model
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arXiv
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2026
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| _version_ | 1866917427237879808 |
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| author | Yadav, Alok Yadav, Saroj |
| author_facet | Yadav, Alok Yadav, Saroj |
| contents | Traditional macroeconomic growth models rely on general equilibrium and continuous, frictionless institutional transitions, failing to account for the catastrophic structural collapses observed in empirical economic history. We propose the Stochastic Networked Governance (SNG) model, a discrete-time, agent-based framework that bridges econophysics, network science, and institutional economics. By defining jurisdictions through a binary institutional genome, the model formalizes institutional complementarity, endogenous growth, and the non-linear macroeconomic penalties of structural reform (the "J-Curve"). Using the CEPII Gravity Database and the IMF Systemic Banking Crises dataset, we move beyond theoretical topologies to execute an empirical historical simulation from 1970 to 2017 across the top 100 global economies. Through Monte Carlo ensembles, we demonstrate how scale-invariant exogenous shocks and spatial capital flight drive global phase transitions, exposing the mathematical mechanics of the 1989-1991 Soviet collapse, the Hub-Risk Paradigm, and the emergent resilience of spatially firewalled market networks. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_19968 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Stochastic Networked Governance: Bridging Econophysics and Institutional Dynamics in a Positive-Sum Agent-Based Model Yadav, Alok Yadav, Saroj Physics and Society General Economics Economics Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems Traditional macroeconomic growth models rely on general equilibrium and continuous, frictionless institutional transitions, failing to account for the catastrophic structural collapses observed in empirical economic history. We propose the Stochastic Networked Governance (SNG) model, a discrete-time, agent-based framework that bridges econophysics, network science, and institutional economics. By defining jurisdictions through a binary institutional genome, the model formalizes institutional complementarity, endogenous growth, and the non-linear macroeconomic penalties of structural reform (the "J-Curve"). Using the CEPII Gravity Database and the IMF Systemic Banking Crises dataset, we move beyond theoretical topologies to execute an empirical historical simulation from 1970 to 2017 across the top 100 global economies. Through Monte Carlo ensembles, we demonstrate how scale-invariant exogenous shocks and spatial capital flight drive global phase transitions, exposing the mathematical mechanics of the 1989-1991 Soviet collapse, the Hub-Risk Paradigm, and the emergent resilience of spatially firewalled market networks. |
| title | Stochastic Networked Governance: Bridging Econophysics and Institutional Dynamics in a Positive-Sum Agent-Based Model |
| topic | Physics and Society General Economics Economics Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.19968 |