Mean-Field and Pairwise Approaches for the SIRI Model on Poisson Networks
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arXiv
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| Auteurs principaux: | , , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Publié: |
2026
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| _version_ | 1866914507535679488 |
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| author | Bhat, Akshara Deshpande, Abhishek Hens, Chittaranjan Ghosh, Subrata |
| author_facet | Bhat, Akshara Deshpande, Abhishek Hens, Chittaranjan Ghosh, Subrata |
| contents | Compartmental epidemic models, grounded in mass-action kinetics, often assume homogeneous mixing. Although this neglects network structure, recent results show that for Poisson random graphs, the classical SIR model, especially the susceptible decay curve, matches the susceptible decay dynamics of its network counterpart. Motivated by this, we investigate whether the extended SIRI model with relapse from the recovered class admits a similar correspondence. SIRI dynamics arise in sevaral scenarios like spread of diseases with reactivation and behavioral contagion with relapse. We derive parameter relationships under which the pairwise SIRI model on a Poisson network closely follows the mass-action ODE trajectories. When transmission per contact is small relative to recovery, the susceptible and infectious trajectories of both systems align. This establishes conditions under which nonlinear SIRI dynamics on networks can be effectively approximated by tractable mean-field equations. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_23243 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Mean-Field and Pairwise Approaches for the SIRI Model on Poisson Networks Bhat, Akshara Deshpande, Abhishek Hens, Chittaranjan Ghosh, Subrata Populations and Evolution Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems Compartmental epidemic models, grounded in mass-action kinetics, often assume homogeneous mixing. Although this neglects network structure, recent results show that for Poisson random graphs, the classical SIR model, especially the susceptible decay curve, matches the susceptible decay dynamics of its network counterpart. Motivated by this, we investigate whether the extended SIRI model with relapse from the recovered class admits a similar correspondence. SIRI dynamics arise in sevaral scenarios like spread of diseases with reactivation and behavioral contagion with relapse. We derive parameter relationships under which the pairwise SIRI model on a Poisson network closely follows the mass-action ODE trajectories. When transmission per contact is small relative to recovery, the susceptible and infectious trajectories of both systems align. This establishes conditions under which nonlinear SIRI dynamics on networks can be effectively approximated by tractable mean-field equations. |
| title | Mean-Field and Pairwise Approaches for the SIRI Model on Poisson Networks |
| topic | Populations and Evolution Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.23243 |