Financial Market as a Self-Organized Ecosystem: Simulation via Learning with Heterogeneous Preferences

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Hashimoto, Ryuji, Takata, Ryosuke, Suzuki, Masahiro, Tanaka, Yuki, Izumi, Kiyoshi
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Hashimoto, Ryuji
Takata, Ryosuke
Suzuki, Masahiro
Tanaka, Yuki
Izumi, Kiyoshi
author_facet Hashimoto, Ryuji
Takata, Ryosuke
Suzuki, Masahiro
Tanaka, Yuki
Izumi, Kiyoshi
contents Agent-based models provide a constructive approach to studying emergent dynamics in life-like systems composed of interacting, adaptive agents. Financial markets serve as a canonical example of such systems, where collective price dynamics arise from individual decision-making. In this modeling tradition, investor behavior has typically been captured by two distinct mechanisms -- learning and heterogeneous preferences -- which have been explored as separate paradigms in prior studies. However, the impact of their joint modeling on the resulting collective dynamics remains largely unexplored. We develop a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework in which agents endowed with heterogeneous risk aversion, time discounting, and information access learn trading strategies interactively within an artificial market. The experiment reveals that (i) learning under heterogeneous preferences drives agents to develop functionally differentiated strategies through interaction, rather than trait-specific rules, resulting in role specialization, and (ii) the interactions by the differentiated agents are essential for the emergence of realistic market dynamics such as fat-tailed price fluctuations and volatility clustering. Overall, this study demonstrates that the joint design of heterogeneous preferences and learning mechanisms enables the synthesis of an artificial market in which adaptive interactions drive the self-organization of a market ecology, providing a computational realization of the Adaptive Market Hypothesis.
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publishDate 2026
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spellingShingle Financial Market as a Self-Organized Ecosystem: Simulation via Learning with Heterogeneous Preferences
Hashimoto, Ryuji
Takata, Ryosuke
Suzuki, Masahiro
Tanaka, Yuki
Izumi, Kiyoshi
Computational Finance
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
Agent-based models provide a constructive approach to studying emergent dynamics in life-like systems composed of interacting, adaptive agents. Financial markets serve as a canonical example of such systems, where collective price dynamics arise from individual decision-making. In this modeling tradition, investor behavior has typically been captured by two distinct mechanisms -- learning and heterogeneous preferences -- which have been explored as separate paradigms in prior studies. However, the impact of their joint modeling on the resulting collective dynamics remains largely unexplored. We develop a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework in which agents endowed with heterogeneous risk aversion, time discounting, and information access learn trading strategies interactively within an artificial market. The experiment reveals that (i) learning under heterogeneous preferences drives agents to develop functionally differentiated strategies through interaction, rather than trait-specific rules, resulting in role specialization, and (ii) the interactions by the differentiated agents are essential for the emergence of realistic market dynamics such as fat-tailed price fluctuations and volatility clustering. Overall, this study demonstrates that the joint design of heterogeneous preferences and learning mechanisms enables the synthesis of an artificial market in which adaptive interactions drive the self-organization of a market ecology, providing a computational realization of the Adaptive Market Hypothesis.
title Financial Market as a Self-Organized Ecosystem: Simulation via Learning with Heterogeneous Preferences
topic Computational Finance
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.23975