Dual Control of Linear Systems from Bilinear Observations with Belief Space Model Predictive Control

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Cao, Daniel, Du, Beixi, Lowitt, Andrew, Choi, Sunmook, Dean, Sarah, Sattar, Yahya
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Cao, Daniel
Du, Beixi
Lowitt, Andrew
Choi, Sunmook
Dean, Sarah
Sattar, Yahya
author_facet Cao, Daniel
Du, Beixi
Lowitt, Andrew
Choi, Sunmook
Dean, Sarah
Sattar, Yahya
contents We study finite-horizon quadratic control of linear systems with bilinear observations, in which the control input affects not only the state dynamics but also the partial observations of the state. In this setting, the separation principle can fail because control inputs influence the future quality of state estimates. State estimation requires an input-dependent Kalman filter whose gain and error covariance evolve as functions of the control inputs. To address this challenge, we propose a belief-space model predictive control ($\texttt{B-MPC}$) method that plans directly over both the estimated state and its error covariance. In particular, $\texttt{B-MPC}$ plans with a deterministic surrogate of the belief evolution defined by the input-dependent Kalman filter. Through numerical experiments in two synthetic settings, we show that $\texttt{B-MPC}$ can outperform both the separation-principle controller and its MPC variant in favorable regimes, and that these gains are accompanied by lower estimation covariance and more uncertainty-aware action choices.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_24663
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Dual Control of Linear Systems from Bilinear Observations with Belief Space Model Predictive Control
Cao, Daniel
Du, Beixi
Lowitt, Andrew
Choi, Sunmook
Dean, Sarah
Sattar, Yahya
Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
Systems and Control
We study finite-horizon quadratic control of linear systems with bilinear observations, in which the control input affects not only the state dynamics but also the partial observations of the state. In this setting, the separation principle can fail because control inputs influence the future quality of state estimates. State estimation requires an input-dependent Kalman filter whose gain and error covariance evolve as functions of the control inputs. To address this challenge, we propose a belief-space model predictive control ($\texttt{B-MPC}$) method that plans directly over both the estimated state and its error covariance. In particular, $\texttt{B-MPC}$ plans with a deterministic surrogate of the belief evolution defined by the input-dependent Kalman filter. Through numerical experiments in two synthetic settings, we show that $\texttt{B-MPC}$ can outperform both the separation-principle controller and its MPC variant in favorable regimes, and that these gains are accompanied by lower estimation covariance and more uncertainty-aware action choices.
title Dual Control of Linear Systems from Bilinear Observations with Belief Space Model Predictive Control
topic Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.24663