Optimization-Free Concentrated Matrix-Exponentials

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Battagliola, Maria Laura, Peralta, Oscar
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Battagliola, Maria Laura
Peralta, Oscar
author_facet Battagliola, Maria Laura
Peralta, Oscar
contents Near-deterministic positive delays require highly concentrated distributions, but phase-type models are constrained by the Erlang variance limit. While matrix-exponential distributions can empirically bypass this barrier, prior low-variance constructions relied entirely on numerical optimization. We propose an explicit family of concentrated matrix-exponential densities for the unit delay, obtained by raising the trigonometric Fejér kernel to logarithmic power. With exact moments and closed-form parameters, this gives the first analytical proof of a matrix-exponential class that asymptotically surpasses the Erlang bound.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_26304
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Optimization-Free Concentrated Matrix-Exponentials
Battagliola, Maria Laura
Peralta, Oscar
Probability
Numerical Analysis
Near-deterministic positive delays require highly concentrated distributions, but phase-type models are constrained by the Erlang variance limit. While matrix-exponential distributions can empirically bypass this barrier, prior low-variance constructions relied entirely on numerical optimization. We propose an explicit family of concentrated matrix-exponential densities for the unit delay, obtained by raising the trigonometric Fejér kernel to logarithmic power. With exact moments and closed-form parameters, this gives the first analytical proof of a matrix-exponential class that asymptotically surpasses the Erlang bound.
title Optimization-Free Concentrated Matrix-Exponentials
topic Probability
Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.26304