Doubly robust local projections difference-in-differences

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Uhr, Daniel de Abreu Pereira, Moura, Guilherme Valle
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Uhr, Daniel de Abreu Pereira
Moura, Guilherme Valle
author_facet Uhr, Daniel de Abreu Pereira
Moura, Guilherme Valle
contents This paper develops a doubly robust extension of local-projections difference-in-differences (LP-DiD) for staggered absorbing treatments. The resulting estimator, DRLPDID, preserves the LP-DiD local-stack ATT target and is consistent when either the local untreated-outcome regression or the local treatment-probability model is correctly specified. It also delivers influence-function-based inference for post-treatment summaries and multiplier-bootstrap bands for dynamic paths. In Monte Carlo designs with covariate-driven selection, DRLPDID matches regression-adjusted LP-DiD under outcome-model alignment and clearly outperforms the IPT-only variant under propensity-score misspecification. In the no-fault-divorce application, DRLPDID tracks robust staggered-adoption estimators and is less negative than unadjusted LP-DiD.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_27035
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Doubly robust local projections difference-in-differences
Uhr, Daniel de Abreu Pereira
Moura, Guilherme Valle
Econometrics
This paper develops a doubly robust extension of local-projections difference-in-differences (LP-DiD) for staggered absorbing treatments. The resulting estimator, DRLPDID, preserves the LP-DiD local-stack ATT target and is consistent when either the local untreated-outcome regression or the local treatment-probability model is correctly specified. It also delivers influence-function-based inference for post-treatment summaries and multiplier-bootstrap bands for dynamic paths. In Monte Carlo designs with covariate-driven selection, DRLPDID matches regression-adjusted LP-DiD under outcome-model alignment and clearly outperforms the IPT-only variant under propensity-score misspecification. In the no-fault-divorce application, DRLPDID tracks robust staggered-adoption estimators and is less negative than unadjusted LP-DiD.
title Doubly robust local projections difference-in-differences
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.27035