A Collective Variational Principle Unifying Bayesian Inference, Game Theory, and Thermodynamics

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Bouchaffra, Djamel, Ykhlef, Faycal, Lebbah, Mustapha, Azzag, Hanane
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Bouchaffra, Djamel
Ykhlef, Faycal
Lebbah, Mustapha
Azzag, Hanane
author_facet Bouchaffra, Djamel
Ykhlef, Faycal
Lebbah, Mustapha
Azzag, Hanane
contents Collective intelligence emerges across biological, physical, and artificial systems without central coordination, yet a unifying principle governing such behaviour remains elusive. The Free Energy Principle explains how individual agents adapt through variational inference, while game theory formalises strategic interactions. Here we introduce the Game-Theoretic Free Energy Principle, a unified framework showing that multi-agent systems performing local free-energy minimisation implicitly implement a stochastic game. We prove that, under bounded rationality and local information constraints, stationary points of collective free energy correspond to approximate Nash equilibria of an induced game. Conversely, a broad class of cooperative games admits a variational representation in which equilibria arise as Gibbs distributions over coalitions, establishing a bridge between Bayesian inference and strategic interaction. To characterise higher-order effects, we introduce a free-energy formulation of the Harsanyi dividend, isolating irreducible multi-agent synergy. This yields a predictive theory of cooperation, including a falsifiable non-monotonic relationship between sensory precision and agent influence. We validate this prediction across neural, biological, and artificial multi-agent systems. These results identify a common variational principle underlying inference, thermodynamics, and game-theoretic equilibrium.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_27942
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Collective Variational Principle Unifying Bayesian Inference, Game Theory, and Thermodynamics
Bouchaffra, Djamel
Ykhlef, Faycal
Lebbah, Mustapha
Azzag, Hanane
Artificial Intelligence
Collective intelligence emerges across biological, physical, and artificial systems without central coordination, yet a unifying principle governing such behaviour remains elusive. The Free Energy Principle explains how individual agents adapt through variational inference, while game theory formalises strategic interactions. Here we introduce the Game-Theoretic Free Energy Principle, a unified framework showing that multi-agent systems performing local free-energy minimisation implicitly implement a stochastic game. We prove that, under bounded rationality and local information constraints, stationary points of collective free energy correspond to approximate Nash equilibria of an induced game. Conversely, a broad class of cooperative games admits a variational representation in which equilibria arise as Gibbs distributions over coalitions, establishing a bridge between Bayesian inference and strategic interaction. To characterise higher-order effects, we introduce a free-energy formulation of the Harsanyi dividend, isolating irreducible multi-agent synergy. This yields a predictive theory of cooperation, including a falsifiable non-monotonic relationship between sensory precision and agent influence. We validate this prediction across neural, biological, and artificial multi-agent systems. These results identify a common variational principle underlying inference, thermodynamics, and game-theoretic equilibrium.
title A Collective Variational Principle Unifying Bayesian Inference, Game Theory, and Thermodynamics
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.27942