Efficient Multi-Market Scheduling of Virtual Power Plants via Spectral Representation of Uncertainty

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Zapparoli, Lorenzo, Gjorgiev, Blazhe, Sansavini, Giovanni
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Zapparoli, Lorenzo
Gjorgiev, Blazhe
Sansavini, Giovanni
author_facet Zapparoli, Lorenzo
Gjorgiev, Blazhe
Sansavini, Giovanni
contents As the penetration of distributed energy resources increases, harnessing their flexibility becomes critical for power system operations. Virtual power plants (VPPs) offer a promising solution. However, existing VPP market scheduling tools exhibit a tradeoff between economic performance and tractability. Stochastic formulations provide probabilistically optimal decisions but are computationally intractable for large systems due to scenario explosion. Robust approaches are more tractable but often yield conservative decisions. This paper addresses this gap by proposing a stochastic multi-market VPP scheduling framework that represents uncertainty in the spectral domain via intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE). The resulting reformulation yields a low-dimensional deterministic spectral counterpart that preserves the stochastic structure and can be solved efficiently with standard optimization tools. The proposed spectral approach is demonstrated on a DER-based VPP operating on a realistic Swiss low-voltage grid and benchmarked against a state-of-the-art scenario-based solution. Results show that intrusive PCE achieves solution quality comparable to the scenario-based benchmark, with up to a 137 times reduction in computational effort, while yielding highly accurate bidding decisions. Finally, to facilitate adoption and reproducibility, we release an open-source, application-agnostic projection tool that automates the spectral reformulation for generic single- and two-stage stochastic programs.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_02334
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Efficient Multi-Market Scheduling of Virtual Power Plants via Spectral Representation of Uncertainty
Zapparoli, Lorenzo
Gjorgiev, Blazhe
Sansavini, Giovanni
Systems and Control
As the penetration of distributed energy resources increases, harnessing their flexibility becomes critical for power system operations. Virtual power plants (VPPs) offer a promising solution. However, existing VPP market scheduling tools exhibit a tradeoff between economic performance and tractability. Stochastic formulations provide probabilistically optimal decisions but are computationally intractable for large systems due to scenario explosion. Robust approaches are more tractable but often yield conservative decisions. This paper addresses this gap by proposing a stochastic multi-market VPP scheduling framework that represents uncertainty in the spectral domain via intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE). The resulting reformulation yields a low-dimensional deterministic spectral counterpart that preserves the stochastic structure and can be solved efficiently with standard optimization tools. The proposed spectral approach is demonstrated on a DER-based VPP operating on a realistic Swiss low-voltage grid and benchmarked against a state-of-the-art scenario-based solution. Results show that intrusive PCE achieves solution quality comparable to the scenario-based benchmark, with up to a 137 times reduction in computational effort, while yielding highly accurate bidding decisions. Finally, to facilitate adoption and reproducibility, we release an open-source, application-agnostic projection tool that automates the spectral reformulation for generic single- and two-stage stochastic programs.
title Efficient Multi-Market Scheduling of Virtual Power Plants via Spectral Representation of Uncertainty
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.02334