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Main Authors: Sahu, Sharan, Sarkar, Abir, Hogan, Cameron J., Wells, Martin T.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.04269
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author Sahu, Sharan
Sarkar, Abir
Hogan, Cameron J.
Wells, Martin T.
author_facet Sahu, Sharan
Sarkar, Abir
Hogan, Cameron J.
Wells, Martin T.
contents We provide a theoretical analysis of Adam under non-stationary stochastic objectives, separating two regimes: Euclidean tracking under adaptive strong monotonicity of the Adam-preconditioned mean-gradient operator, and high-probability projected stationarity guarantees under general $L$-smooth objectives. In the tracking regime, we derive finite-time expected and high-probability bounds that decompose sharply into four components: initialization, objective drift, a first-moment tracking error governed by $β_1$, and a preconditioner perturbation governed by $β_2$. We characterize the burn-in time to reach Adam's irreducible tracking floor under constant and step-decay schedules. We also prove a high-probability bound on the average projected stationarity gap for Adam under distribution shift. Across both analyses, our bounds reveal a noise--drift tradeoff: in noise-dominated regimes, first-moment averaging and adaptive preconditioning can improve the high-probability error, whereas in drift-dominated regimes, stale first-moment information and preconditioner perturbations can compound the cost of nonstationarity, allowing vanilla SGD to achieve a smaller tracking floor. Our explicit $(β_1,β_2,ε)$-dependent bounds delineate when adaptive step-sizing is beneficial versus harmful, and provide a theoretical mechanism for Adam's empirical instability and stabilization under distribution shift.
format Preprint
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publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization
Sahu, Sharan
Sarkar, Abir
Hogan, Cameron J.
Wells, Martin T.
Machine Learning
We provide a theoretical analysis of Adam under non-stationary stochastic objectives, separating two regimes: Euclidean tracking under adaptive strong monotonicity of the Adam-preconditioned mean-gradient operator, and high-probability projected stationarity guarantees under general $L$-smooth objectives. In the tracking regime, we derive finite-time expected and high-probability bounds that decompose sharply into four components: initialization, objective drift, a first-moment tracking error governed by $β_1$, and a preconditioner perturbation governed by $β_2$. We characterize the burn-in time to reach Adam's irreducible tracking floor under constant and step-decay schedules. We also prove a high-probability bound on the average projected stationarity gap for Adam under distribution shift. Across both analyses, our bounds reveal a noise--drift tradeoff: in noise-dominated regimes, first-moment averaging and adaptive preconditioning can improve the high-probability error, whereas in drift-dominated regimes, stale first-moment information and preconditioner perturbations can compound the cost of nonstationarity, allowing vanilla SGD to achieve a smaller tracking floor. Our explicit $(β_1,β_2,ε)$-dependent bounds delineate when adaptive step-sizing is beneficial versus harmful, and provide a theoretical mechanism for Adam's empirical instability and stabilization under distribution shift.
title Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.04269