Discovering Sparse Counterfactual Factors via Latent Adjustment for Survey-based Community Intervention

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Ashraf, Fatima, Sabir, Muhammad Ayub, Pang, Junbiao, Zhou, Yufang, Shang, Yan
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Ashraf, Fatima
Sabir, Muhammad Ayub
Pang, Junbiao
Zhou, Yufang
Shang, Yan
author_facet Ashraf, Fatima
Sabir, Muhammad Ayub
Pang, Junbiao
Zhou, Yufang
Shang, Yan
contents Transportation surveys are widely used to understand travel preferences and adoption barriers, yet most survey-based analyses remain descriptive or predictive and rarely provide sparse, policy-feasible intervention strategies. We study sparse counterfactual community intervention from survey responses, where the goal is to shift a target respondent group toward a desired reference group through controllable survey-variable adjustments. We formulate this task as a policy-feasible distributional alignment problem using a fixed-basis nonnegative latent representation that preserves pre/post comparability and provides a stable map from latent factors to original variables. To make latent movement actionable, target-relevant latent factors are identified through Shapley-guided attribution and transferred to controllable variables as intervention priorities. Feasible group-level adjustments are then learned by minimizing an entropy-regularized optimal-transport discrepancy between the post-intervention target distribution and the reference distribution, together with a weighted $\ell_{2,1}$ penalty that promotes shared policy-lever sparsity. Experiments on real-world transportation survey datasets show that the proposed framework produces compact and interpretable policy-feasible interventions with explicit adjustment magnitudes, improves population-level conversion, and preserves intervention sparsity. Code and datasets are publicly available at: https://github.com/pangjunbiao/latent-group-alignment.git
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_04460
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Discovering Sparse Counterfactual Factors via Latent Adjustment for Survey-based Community Intervention
Ashraf, Fatima
Sabir, Muhammad Ayub
Pang, Junbiao
Zhou, Yufang
Shang, Yan
Machine Learning
Transportation surveys are widely used to understand travel preferences and adoption barriers, yet most survey-based analyses remain descriptive or predictive and rarely provide sparse, policy-feasible intervention strategies. We study sparse counterfactual community intervention from survey responses, where the goal is to shift a target respondent group toward a desired reference group through controllable survey-variable adjustments. We formulate this task as a policy-feasible distributional alignment problem using a fixed-basis nonnegative latent representation that preserves pre/post comparability and provides a stable map from latent factors to original variables. To make latent movement actionable, target-relevant latent factors are identified through Shapley-guided attribution and transferred to controllable variables as intervention priorities. Feasible group-level adjustments are then learned by minimizing an entropy-regularized optimal-transport discrepancy between the post-intervention target distribution and the reference distribution, together with a weighted $\ell_{2,1}$ penalty that promotes shared policy-lever sparsity. Experiments on real-world transportation survey datasets show that the proposed framework produces compact and interpretable policy-feasible interventions with explicit adjustment magnitudes, improves population-level conversion, and preserves intervention sparsity. Code and datasets are publicly available at: https://github.com/pangjunbiao/latent-group-alignment.git
title Discovering Sparse Counterfactual Factors via Latent Adjustment for Survey-based Community Intervention
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.04460