SOPF-Based Adaptive Droop Control for Hybrid AC--HVDC Grids Under Offshore Wind Uncertainty

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Du, Hongjin, Lekić, Aleksandra
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Du, Hongjin
Lekić, Aleksandra
author_facet Du, Hongjin
Lekić, Aleksandra
contents The integration of massive offshore wind into hybrid AC-HVDC grids demands robust DC voltage regulation, yet conventional fixed-gain droop controllers struggle under severe stochastic volatility. This paper bridges the gap between system-level economic dispatch and converter-level control by proposing a novel Stochastic Optimal Power Flow (SOPF)-based adaptive droop framework. Rather than relying on heuristic or reactive tuning, wind forecast uncertainty is modeled using a zone-wise Beta distribution that accurately captures the heteroscedastic nature of wind errors across low, mid, and high power regimes. By leveraging Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) within a chance-constrained SOPF, the system's stochastic states are formulated analytically. Crucially, the optimal adaptive droop gain is extracted directly from the first-order PCE coefficients via a Jacobian-free sensitivity analysis, embedding statistical voltage-security guarantees directly into the local converter control. Validation on a 4-terminal AC-HVDC system demonstrates that scenario-adaptive gains significantly outperform standard fixed-coefficient approaches, effectively minimizing active-power tracking errors during extreme wind disturbances.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_05992
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle SOPF-Based Adaptive Droop Control for Hybrid AC--HVDC Grids Under Offshore Wind Uncertainty
Du, Hongjin
Lekić, Aleksandra
Systems and Control
The integration of massive offshore wind into hybrid AC-HVDC grids demands robust DC voltage regulation, yet conventional fixed-gain droop controllers struggle under severe stochastic volatility. This paper bridges the gap between system-level economic dispatch and converter-level control by proposing a novel Stochastic Optimal Power Flow (SOPF)-based adaptive droop framework. Rather than relying on heuristic or reactive tuning, wind forecast uncertainty is modeled using a zone-wise Beta distribution that accurately captures the heteroscedastic nature of wind errors across low, mid, and high power regimes. By leveraging Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) within a chance-constrained SOPF, the system's stochastic states are formulated analytically. Crucially, the optimal adaptive droop gain is extracted directly from the first-order PCE coefficients via a Jacobian-free sensitivity analysis, embedding statistical voltage-security guarantees directly into the local converter control. Validation on a 4-terminal AC-HVDC system demonstrates that scenario-adaptive gains significantly outperform standard fixed-coefficient approaches, effectively minimizing active-power tracking errors during extreme wind disturbances.
title SOPF-Based Adaptive Droop Control for Hybrid AC--HVDC Grids Under Offshore Wind Uncertainty
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.05992