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Hauptverfasser: Balsells-Rodas, Carles, Xiang, Zhengrui, Sumba, Xavier, Li, Yingzhen
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.06315
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author Balsells-Rodas, Carles
Xiang, Zhengrui
Sumba, Xavier
Li, Yingzhen
author_facet Balsells-Rodas, Carles
Xiang, Zhengrui
Sumba, Xavier
Li, Yingzhen
contents Learning identifiable representations in deep generative models remains a fundamental challenge, particularly for sequential data with regime-switching dynamics. Existing approaches establish identifiability under restrictive assumptions, such as stationarity or limited emission models, and typically rely on variational autoencoder (VAE) estimators, which introduce approximation gaps that limit the recovery of the latent structure. In this work, we address both the theoretical and practical limitations of this setting. First, we establish identifiability of a broad class of recurrent nonlinear switching dynamical systems under flexible assumptions, significantly extending prior results. Second, we introduce $Ω$SDS, a flow-based estimator that enables exact likelihood optimization using expectation-maximisation. Through empirical validation on both synthetic and real-world data, our results demonstrate that $Ω$SDS achieves improved disentanglement compared to VAE-based estimators and more accurate forecasting of underlying dynamics.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_06315
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle End-to-End Identifiable and Consistent Recurrent Switching Dynamical Systems
Balsells-Rodas, Carles
Xiang, Zhengrui
Sumba, Xavier
Li, Yingzhen
Machine Learning
Learning identifiable representations in deep generative models remains a fundamental challenge, particularly for sequential data with regime-switching dynamics. Existing approaches establish identifiability under restrictive assumptions, such as stationarity or limited emission models, and typically rely on variational autoencoder (VAE) estimators, which introduce approximation gaps that limit the recovery of the latent structure. In this work, we address both the theoretical and practical limitations of this setting. First, we establish identifiability of a broad class of recurrent nonlinear switching dynamical systems under flexible assumptions, significantly extending prior results. Second, we introduce $Ω$SDS, a flow-based estimator that enables exact likelihood optimization using expectation-maximisation. Through empirical validation on both synthetic and real-world data, our results demonstrate that $Ω$SDS achieves improved disentanglement compared to VAE-based estimators and more accurate forecasting of underlying dynamics.
title End-to-End Identifiable and Consistent Recurrent Switching Dynamical Systems
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.06315