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Main Authors: Li, Baishi, Yu, Ta, Koa, Kelvin J. L., Huang, Ke-Wei
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.07409
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author Li, Baishi
Yu, Ta
Koa, Kelvin J. L.
Huang, Ke-Wei
author_facet Li, Baishi
Yu, Ta
Koa, Kelvin J. L.
Huang, Ke-Wei
contents Natural Language Processing is rapidly evolving into a primary instrument for Computational Social Science, with researchers increasingly using embeddings to measure latent constructs such as novelty, creativity, and bias. However, this transition faces a fundamental validity challenge: the ''Proxy Presumption,'' or the reliance on geometric properties (e.g., cosine distance) as direct measures of social concepts. We argue that without explicit validation, unsupervised representations remain entangled mixtures of the target construct ($C$) and confounding attributes ($Z$) like topic, style, and authorship. To bridge the gap between semantic embeddings and valid social measures, we introduce the Construct Validity Protocol (CVP). Drawing on causal representation learning and psychometrics, the CVP offers a rigorous pipeline from conceptualization to quantitative verification. We further propose Counterfactual Neutralization, a novel method using LLMs to reduce confounding in embedding space. By providing a standardized Validity Suite -- including tests for discriminant, incremental, and predictive validity -- this work offers the community a toolkit to transform heuristic proxies into robust, scientifically defensible instruments.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_07409
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publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures
Li, Baishi
Yu, Ta
Koa, Kelvin J. L.
Huang, Ke-Wei
Computation and Language
Machine Learning
Applications
Natural Language Processing is rapidly evolving into a primary instrument for Computational Social Science, with researchers increasingly using embeddings to measure latent constructs such as novelty, creativity, and bias. However, this transition faces a fundamental validity challenge: the ''Proxy Presumption,'' or the reliance on geometric properties (e.g., cosine distance) as direct measures of social concepts. We argue that without explicit validation, unsupervised representations remain entangled mixtures of the target construct ($C$) and confounding attributes ($Z$) like topic, style, and authorship. To bridge the gap between semantic embeddings and valid social measures, we introduce the Construct Validity Protocol (CVP). Drawing on causal representation learning and psychometrics, the CVP offers a rigorous pipeline from conceptualization to quantitative verification. We further propose Counterfactual Neutralization, a novel method using LLMs to reduce confounding in embedding space. By providing a standardized Validity Suite -- including tests for discriminant, incremental, and predictive validity -- this work offers the community a toolkit to transform heuristic proxies into robust, scientifically defensible instruments.
title The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures
topic Computation and Language
Machine Learning
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.07409