Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learning with Neural Mean Embeddings

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Bozkurt, Bariscan, Galashov, Alexandre, Meunier, Dimitri, Shen, Zikai, Gretton, Arthur, Zenati, Houssam
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Bozkurt, Bariscan
Galashov, Alexandre
Meunier, Dimitri
Shen, Zikai
Gretton, Arthur
Zenati, Houssam
author_facet Bozkurt, Bariscan
Galashov, Alexandre
Meunier, Dimitri
Shen, Zikai
Gretton, Arthur
Zenati, Houssam
contents Unobserved confounding prevents standard covariate adjustment from identifying causal response functions in observational studies. Proxy causal learning addresses this problem through bridge equations involving treatment- and outcome-inducing proxies, avoiding direct recovery of the latent confounder. Existing doubly robust proxy estimators combine outcome and treatment bridges, but typically rely on fixed kernels, sieves, or low-dimensional semiparametric models; existing neural proxy methods are more flexible, but are largely single-bridge estimators. We develop a neural doubly robust framework for proxy causal learning with continuous and structured treatments. Our method introduces a neural mean-embedding estimator for the treatment bridge, combines it with a neural outcome bridge, and estimates the doubly robust correction through a final regression stage. The framework covers population, heterogeneous, and conditional dose-response functions, yielding full response-curve estimators rather than binary-treatment effects. The algorithms use two stages for each bridge and history-aware updates of the final linear layers to stabilize stochastic multi-stage training. We prove consistency of the algorithms showing that the doubly robust error is controlled by the final averaging and regression errors together with the smaller of the outcome- and treatment-side weak-norm bridge errors. Across synthetic and image-valued benchmarks, the proposed estimators outperform existing baselines and single-bridge neural estimators, showing the benefit of combining learned outcome and treatment bridges in a doubly robust construction. Our implementation is available at https://github.com/BariscanBozkurt/DRPCL-Neural-Mean-Embedding.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_09514
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learning with Neural Mean Embeddings
Bozkurt, Bariscan
Galashov, Alexandre
Meunier, Dimitri
Shen, Zikai
Gretton, Arthur
Zenati, Houssam
Machine Learning
Unobserved confounding prevents standard covariate adjustment from identifying causal response functions in observational studies. Proxy causal learning addresses this problem through bridge equations involving treatment- and outcome-inducing proxies, avoiding direct recovery of the latent confounder. Existing doubly robust proxy estimators combine outcome and treatment bridges, but typically rely on fixed kernels, sieves, or low-dimensional semiparametric models; existing neural proxy methods are more flexible, but are largely single-bridge estimators. We develop a neural doubly robust framework for proxy causal learning with continuous and structured treatments. Our method introduces a neural mean-embedding estimator for the treatment bridge, combines it with a neural outcome bridge, and estimates the doubly robust correction through a final regression stage. The framework covers population, heterogeneous, and conditional dose-response functions, yielding full response-curve estimators rather than binary-treatment effects. The algorithms use two stages for each bridge and history-aware updates of the final linear layers to stabilize stochastic multi-stage training. We prove consistency of the algorithms showing that the doubly robust error is controlled by the final averaging and regression errors together with the smaller of the outcome- and treatment-side weak-norm bridge errors. Across synthetic and image-valued benchmarks, the proposed estimators outperform existing baselines and single-bridge neural estimators, showing the benefit of combining learned outcome and treatment bridges in a doubly robust construction. Our implementation is available at https://github.com/BariscanBozkurt/DRPCL-Neural-Mean-Embedding.
title Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learning with Neural Mean Embeddings
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.09514