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Auteurs principaux: Lu, Xiaoxiao, Yuan, Ye, Shi, Jiahao
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.10154
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author Lu, Xiaoxiao
Yuan, Ye
Shi, Jiahao
author_facet Lu, Xiaoxiao
Yuan, Ye
Shi, Jiahao
contents Long-horizon forecasting of time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) is critical for characterizing the sustained evolution of physical systems. While neural operators have emerged as efficient surrogates, they typically learn implicit finite-time transitions from discrete observations. When deployed autoregressively, such propagators often suffer from rapid error accumulation and dynamic drift. To address this, we propose a neural forecasting framework that reformulates PDE rollout as learning a Structured Spectral Propagator (SSP) in a propagation-oriented latent space. Following an analysis-propagation-synthesis design, our framework: (i) maps physical states into a shared, time-consistent spatial representation; (ii) projects this space into a compact propagation state to isolate recurrent dynamics from fine-grained spatial details, thereby decoupling reconstruction fidelity from rollout regularity; and (iii) evolves retained spectral modes using a frequency-conditioned linear backbone complemented by a nonlinear spectral closure to account for truncated interactions. This explicit structuring endows the propagator with a strong inductive bias for coherent modal evolution. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SSP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing relative $L_2$ errors by up to 48.9% and exhibiting improved stability in temporal extrapolation beyond the supervised horizon.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_10154
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publishDate 2026
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spellingShingle Stable Long-Horizon PDE Forecasting via Latent Structured Spectral Propagators
Lu, Xiaoxiao
Yuan, Ye
Shi, Jiahao
Machine Learning
Long-horizon forecasting of time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) is critical for characterizing the sustained evolution of physical systems. While neural operators have emerged as efficient surrogates, they typically learn implicit finite-time transitions from discrete observations. When deployed autoregressively, such propagators often suffer from rapid error accumulation and dynamic drift. To address this, we propose a neural forecasting framework that reformulates PDE rollout as learning a Structured Spectral Propagator (SSP) in a propagation-oriented latent space. Following an analysis-propagation-synthesis design, our framework: (i) maps physical states into a shared, time-consistent spatial representation; (ii) projects this space into a compact propagation state to isolate recurrent dynamics from fine-grained spatial details, thereby decoupling reconstruction fidelity from rollout regularity; and (iii) evolves retained spectral modes using a frequency-conditioned linear backbone complemented by a nonlinear spectral closure to account for truncated interactions. This explicit structuring endows the propagator with a strong inductive bias for coherent modal evolution. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SSP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing relative $L_2$ errors by up to 48.9% and exhibiting improved stability in temporal extrapolation beyond the supervised horizon.
title Stable Long-Horizon PDE Forecasting via Latent Structured Spectral Propagators
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.10154