$\varepsilon$-Good Action Identification in Fixed-Budget Monte Carlo Tree Search
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arXiv
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2026
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| author | Li, Yinan Nguyen, Tuan Jun, Kwang-Sung |
| author_facet | Li, Yinan Nguyen, Tuan Jun, Kwang-Sung |
| contents | We study the fixed-budget max-min action identification problem in depth-2 max-min trees, an important special case of Monte Carlo Tree Search. A learner sequentially allocates $T$ samples to leaves and then recommends a subtree whose minimum leaf value is largest. Motivated by approximate planning, we focus on $\varepsilon$-good subtree identification, where any subtree whose min value is within $\varepsilon$ of the optimal maximin value is acceptable.
Our main contribution is an $\varepsilon$-agnostic algorithm: it does not require $\varepsilon$ as input, but achieves instance-dependent error bounds for every meaningful $\varepsilon$. We show that the misidentification probability decays as $\exp(-\widetildeΘ(T/H_2(\varepsilon)))$, where $H_2(\varepsilon)$ captures both cross-subtree and within-subtree gaps. When each subtree has a single leaf, the problem reduces to standard fixed-budget best-arm identification, and our analysis recovers, up to accelerating factors, known $\varepsilon$-good guarantees for halving-style methods while giving a new $\varepsilon$-good guarantee for Successive Rejects.
On the lower-bound side, we provide complementary positive and negative results showing that max-min identification has a different hardness structure from standard $K$-armed bandits. To our knowledge, this is the first provable fixed-budget algorithmic guarantee for max-min action identification. |
| format | Preprint |
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arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_11324 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | $\varepsilon$-Good Action Identification in Fixed-Budget Monte Carlo Tree Search Li, Yinan Nguyen, Tuan Jun, Kwang-Sung Machine Learning We study the fixed-budget max-min action identification problem in depth-2 max-min trees, an important special case of Monte Carlo Tree Search. A learner sequentially allocates $T$ samples to leaves and then recommends a subtree whose minimum leaf value is largest. Motivated by approximate planning, we focus on $\varepsilon$-good subtree identification, where any subtree whose min value is within $\varepsilon$ of the optimal maximin value is acceptable. Our main contribution is an $\varepsilon$-agnostic algorithm: it does not require $\varepsilon$ as input, but achieves instance-dependent error bounds for every meaningful $\varepsilon$. We show that the misidentification probability decays as $\exp(-\widetildeΘ(T/H_2(\varepsilon)))$, where $H_2(\varepsilon)$ captures both cross-subtree and within-subtree gaps. When each subtree has a single leaf, the problem reduces to standard fixed-budget best-arm identification, and our analysis recovers, up to accelerating factors, known $\varepsilon$-good guarantees for halving-style methods while giving a new $\varepsilon$-good guarantee for Successive Rejects. On the lower-bound side, we provide complementary positive and negative results showing that max-min identification has a different hardness structure from standard $K$-armed bandits. To our knowledge, this is the first provable fixed-budget algorithmic guarantee for max-min action identification. |
| title | $\varepsilon$-Good Action Identification in Fixed-Budget Monte Carlo Tree Search |
| topic | Machine Learning |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.11324 |