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Auteurs principaux: Huang, Fei, Hooker, Giles
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.11614
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author Huang, Fei
Hooker, Giles
author_facet Huang, Fei
Hooker, Giles
contents Algorithmic systems now set prices across auto insurance, credit, and lending markets, and regulators increasingly require firms to demonstrate that these systems do not discriminate against protected groups. The standard audit regresses pricing output on a protected attribute and legitimate rating factors, then tests the resulting coefficient using ordinary least squares standard errors. We show that this approach is structurally invalid. Pricing algorithms are usually deterministic, so residuals reflect approximation error rather than sampling variability, rendering classical standard errors invalid in both direction and magnitude. We derive correct asymptotic variance estimators for OLS and GLM audit regressions and the correct cross-covariance formula for proxy discrimination testing. Applied to quoted premiums from 34 Illinois auto insurers, every insurer fails the conditional demographic parity test, with minority zip codes paying $34-$158 more per year than comparable-risk white zip codes. The standard proxy discrimination formula flags zero insurers. However, our corrected formula identifies all 34 as statistically significant, of which 16 exceed the substantive threshold. Our framework provides statistically valid audit tools for any deterministic algorithmic system subject to regression-based fairness testing.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_11614
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fairness Testing for Algorithmic Pricing
Huang, Fei
Hooker, Giles
Applications
Algorithmic systems now set prices across auto insurance, credit, and lending markets, and regulators increasingly require firms to demonstrate that these systems do not discriminate against protected groups. The standard audit regresses pricing output on a protected attribute and legitimate rating factors, then tests the resulting coefficient using ordinary least squares standard errors. We show that this approach is structurally invalid. Pricing algorithms are usually deterministic, so residuals reflect approximation error rather than sampling variability, rendering classical standard errors invalid in both direction and magnitude. We derive correct asymptotic variance estimators for OLS and GLM audit regressions and the correct cross-covariance formula for proxy discrimination testing. Applied to quoted premiums from 34 Illinois auto insurers, every insurer fails the conditional demographic parity test, with minority zip codes paying $34-$158 more per year than comparable-risk white zip codes. The standard proxy discrimination formula flags zero insurers. However, our corrected formula identifies all 34 as statistically significant, of which 16 exceed the substantive threshold. Our framework provides statistically valid audit tools for any deterministic algorithmic system subject to regression-based fairness testing.
title Fairness Testing for Algorithmic Pricing
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.11614