Nonlinear filtering with stochastic discontinuities
Fuente:
arXiv
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| Autori principali: | , |
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| Natura: | Preprint |
| Pubblicazione: |
2026
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| _version_ | 1866911674447953920 |
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| author | Schmidt, Thorsten Tambe-Ndonfack, Félix B. |
| author_facet | Schmidt, Thorsten Tambe-Ndonfack, Félix B. |
| contents | Filtering problems with jumps in both the signal and the observation have been extensively studied, typically under the assumption that jump times are totally inaccessible. In many applications, however, jump times are known in advance (i.e., predictable), such as scheduled clinical visits, dividend payment dates, or inspection times in engineering systems. Taking predictable jump times as a starting point, we investigate a filtering problem in which both the signal and the observations can exhibit jumps at predictable times. We derive the corresponding Kushner-Stratonovich and Zakai equations, thereby extending classical nonlinear filtering results to a setting with predictable discontinuities. We illustrate the framework on a Kalman filtering model with predictable jumps and on applications to longitudinal clinical studies, such as spinal muscular atrophy (SMA), as well as to machine learning models (neural jump ODEs) and credit risk. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_12142 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Nonlinear filtering with stochastic discontinuities Schmidt, Thorsten Tambe-Ndonfack, Félix B. Probability Mathematical Finance 60G35 60G46 60G57 60J76 Filtering problems with jumps in both the signal and the observation have been extensively studied, typically under the assumption that jump times are totally inaccessible. In many applications, however, jump times are known in advance (i.e., predictable), such as scheduled clinical visits, dividend payment dates, or inspection times in engineering systems. Taking predictable jump times as a starting point, we investigate a filtering problem in which both the signal and the observations can exhibit jumps at predictable times. We derive the corresponding Kushner-Stratonovich and Zakai equations, thereby extending classical nonlinear filtering results to a setting with predictable discontinuities. We illustrate the framework on a Kalman filtering model with predictable jumps and on applications to longitudinal clinical studies, such as spinal muscular atrophy (SMA), as well as to machine learning models (neural jump ODEs) and credit risk. |
| title | Nonlinear filtering with stochastic discontinuities |
| topic | Probability Mathematical Finance 60G35 60G46 60G57 60J76 |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12142 |