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Main Authors: Das, Sanjiv, Ieroshenko, Andrii, Jain, Piyush, Qiu, David, Chin, Michael, Granger, Brian
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12738
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author Das, Sanjiv
Ieroshenko, Andrii
Jain, Piyush
Qiu, David
Chin, Michael
Granger, Brian
author_facet Das, Sanjiv
Ieroshenko, Andrii
Jain, Piyush
Qiu, David
Chin, Michael
Granger, Brian
contents Using methods previously applied to product life cycles, this paper models developer engagement through the project life cycle for open-source projects, and detects similar dynamics in a cross section of projects. Endogenous growth theory is used to model growth dynamics in open-source software engineering, while incorporating the interactions between growth levels and developer activity over time using systems of differential equations. The solution to this model calibrates well to many open-source projects. The model generates an estimate of the lifetime developer engagement and growth, which supports estimating a lifetime production value of open-source projects.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_12738
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Project Life Cycles in Open-Source Software
Das, Sanjiv
Ieroshenko, Andrii
Jain, Piyush
Qiu, David
Chin, Michael
Granger, Brian
Software Engineering
Social and Information Networks
37N40
D.2.9
Using methods previously applied to product life cycles, this paper models developer engagement through the project life cycle for open-source projects, and detects similar dynamics in a cross section of projects. Endogenous growth theory is used to model growth dynamics in open-source software engineering, while incorporating the interactions between growth levels and developer activity over time using systems of differential equations. The solution to this model calibrates well to many open-source projects. The model generates an estimate of the lifetime developer engagement and growth, which supports estimating a lifetime production value of open-source projects.
title Project Life Cycles in Open-Source Software
topic Software Engineering
Social and Information Networks
37N40
D.2.9
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12738