Change-point detection in variance-covariance matrix

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Lin, Ying, Poignard, Benjamin
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Lin, Ying
Poignard, Benjamin
author_facet Lin, Ying
Poignard, Benjamin
contents We consider the joint estimation of change point locations and the sparsity pattern of the variance covariance matrix, which is assumed to evolve in a piecewise constant manner. By applying Group Fused LASSO and LASSO penalties to the squared Frobenius norm, we estimate both the covariance structure and the change points. Adaptive weights are incorporated into the penalty terms to enhance change point detection and covariance estimation accuracy. We establish the conditions under which the estimated change points and the sparse estimators within each segment are consistent. To solve the resulting optimization problem efficiently, we develop an alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) whose updates reduce to computationally tractable subproblems. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated through synthetic and real data experiments, including comparisons with several competing procedures.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_12881
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Change-point detection in variance-covariance matrix
Lin, Ying
Poignard, Benjamin
Methodology
We consider the joint estimation of change point locations and the sparsity pattern of the variance covariance matrix, which is assumed to evolve in a piecewise constant manner. By applying Group Fused LASSO and LASSO penalties to the squared Frobenius norm, we estimate both the covariance structure and the change points. Adaptive weights are incorporated into the penalty terms to enhance change point detection and covariance estimation accuracy. We establish the conditions under which the estimated change points and the sparse estimators within each segment are consistent. To solve the resulting optimization problem efficiently, we develop an alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) whose updates reduce to computationally tractable subproblems. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated through synthetic and real data experiments, including comparisons with several competing procedures.
title Change-point detection in variance-covariance matrix
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12881