Implicit Behavioral Decoding from Next-Step Spike Forecasts at Population Scale

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Minnick, John R., Gonzalez-Ferrer, Jesus, Hussain, Kamran, Geng, Jinghui, Robbins, Ash, Mostajo-Radji, Mohammed A., Haussler, David, Eshraghian, Jason, Teodorescu, Mircea
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Minnick, John R.
Gonzalez-Ferrer, Jesus
Hussain, Kamran
Geng, Jinghui
Robbins, Ash
Mostajo-Radji, Mohammed A.
Haussler, David
Eshraghian, Jason
Teodorescu, Mircea
author_facet Minnick, John R.
Gonzalez-Ferrer, Jesus
Hussain, Kamran
Geng, Jinghui
Robbins, Ash
Mostajo-Radji, Mohammed A.
Haussler, David
Eshraghian, Jason
Teodorescu, Mircea
contents Closed-loop brain-computer interfaces often require both a forecast of upcoming neural population activity and a readout of the animal's behavioral state. A single Mamba forecaster, trained only on next-step spike counts at Neuropixels scale, can deliver both in one forward pass. A lightweight per-session linear head reading the model's predicted rates decodes behavior better than the same linear classifier reading the raw spike counts, under matched temporal context. We test on the Steinmetz visual-discrimination benchmark, which spans 39 sessions, roughly 27,000 neurons, and 1,994 held-out trials. Across three training seeds, Mamba's predicted rates decode mouse choice at 75.7$\pm$0.2% trial vote, roughly 2.3 times chance level, and stimulus side at 66.1$\pm$0.6%, about twice chance. Compared to a matched 500 ms-context linear decoder on the raw spike counts, Mamba wins at trial vote by 4-6 pp on response and 4-6 pp on stimulus side. A session-start calibration block of about 100-150 trials brings the readout within 1-2 pp of asymptote, and the full pipeline fits inside the 50 ms bin budget on workstation-class GPUs typical of tethered chronic Neuropixels recordings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_12999
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Implicit Behavioral Decoding from Next-Step Spike Forecasts at Population Scale
Minnick, John R.
Gonzalez-Ferrer, Jesus
Hussain, Kamran
Geng, Jinghui
Robbins, Ash
Mostajo-Radji, Mohammed A.
Haussler, David
Eshraghian, Jason
Teodorescu, Mircea
Neurons and Cognition
Machine Learning
Closed-loop brain-computer interfaces often require both a forecast of upcoming neural population activity and a readout of the animal's behavioral state. A single Mamba forecaster, trained only on next-step spike counts at Neuropixels scale, can deliver both in one forward pass. A lightweight per-session linear head reading the model's predicted rates decodes behavior better than the same linear classifier reading the raw spike counts, under matched temporal context. We test on the Steinmetz visual-discrimination benchmark, which spans 39 sessions, roughly 27,000 neurons, and 1,994 held-out trials. Across three training seeds, Mamba's predicted rates decode mouse choice at 75.7$\pm$0.2% trial vote, roughly 2.3 times chance level, and stimulus side at 66.1$\pm$0.6%, about twice chance. Compared to a matched 500 ms-context linear decoder on the raw spike counts, Mamba wins at trial vote by 4-6 pp on response and 4-6 pp on stimulus side. A session-start calibration block of about 100-150 trials brings the readout within 1-2 pp of asymptote, and the full pipeline fits inside the 50 ms bin budget on workstation-class GPUs typical of tethered chronic Neuropixels recordings.
title Implicit Behavioral Decoding from Next-Step Spike Forecasts at Population Scale
topic Neurons and Cognition
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12999