Eccentric Stellar-mass Binary Black Holes: Population, Detectability, and Waveform Analysis in the LISA and LIGO Era

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Main Authors: Xuan, Zeyuan, Naoz, Smadar, Kremer, Kyle, Katz, Michael L., Kocsis, Bence, Michaely, Erez
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Xuan, Zeyuan
Naoz, Smadar
Kremer, Kyle
Katz, Michael L.
Kocsis, Bence
Michaely, Erez
author_facet Xuan, Zeyuan
Naoz, Smadar
Kremer, Kyle
Katz, Michael L.
Kocsis, Bence
Michaely, Erez
contents Eccentric binary black holes (BBHs) formed through dynamical interactions can significantly contribute to gravitational wave (GW) detections. In this work, we present a simulated catalog of dynamically-formed, stellar-mass BBHs in the local universe, incorporating contributions from the Galactic field (flyby interactions), Galactic nucleus (eccentric Kozai-Lidov evolution), and globular clusters (N-body interactions). Our results predict a wide, highly eccentric BBH population in the Milky Way (MW), with source counts of $\sim 36, 13, 4.7, 2.3, 1.0$ (for $\mathrm{SNR} > 1, 3, 8, 20, 50$, respectively) during a 10-yr LISA observation. Extending this model to cosmological populations, we show that different dynamical channels can produce distinct eccentricity distributions in the LVK band and can contribute hundreds of additional low-SNR mHz sources. Specifically, our model yields a merger rate of $Γ\sim 9 \mathrm{Gpc}^{-3}\mathrm{yr}^{-1}$ and $\sim 490$ extragalactic mHz BBHs with $\mathrm{SNR} > 1$. However, due to the lower mass and weaker GW signals of stellar-mass BBHs, this number declines sharply at higher detection thresholds (e.g., $\sim 1$ for $\mathrm{SNR} > 8$). We further highlight the impact of eccentric BBH signals on the LISA global fit, showing that their individual harmonics can be independently detected in the Milky Way, and may mimic circular binaries with systematically biased chirp masses. Lastly, we show that post-Newtonian waveforms converge reliably for eccentric BBHs with masses of $\lesssim 10^3 M_\odot$ in the mHz band. Overall, eccentric BBHs represent a prevalent and promising target for future space-based GW observatories. The simulated catalog and the LISA Eccentricity Astrophysics Package (LEAP) developed in this work are publicly available at https://github.com/zeyuanxuan/lisa-leap/.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_15265
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Eccentric Stellar-mass Binary Black Holes: Population, Detectability, and Waveform Analysis in the LISA and LIGO Era
Xuan, Zeyuan
Naoz, Smadar
Kremer, Kyle
Katz, Michael L.
Kocsis, Bence
Michaely, Erez
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Eccentric binary black holes (BBHs) formed through dynamical interactions can significantly contribute to gravitational wave (GW) detections. In this work, we present a simulated catalog of dynamically-formed, stellar-mass BBHs in the local universe, incorporating contributions from the Galactic field (flyby interactions), Galactic nucleus (eccentric Kozai-Lidov evolution), and globular clusters (N-body interactions). Our results predict a wide, highly eccentric BBH population in the Milky Way (MW), with source counts of $\sim 36, 13, 4.7, 2.3, 1.0$ (for $\mathrm{SNR} > 1, 3, 8, 20, 50$, respectively) during a 10-yr LISA observation. Extending this model to cosmological populations, we show that different dynamical channels can produce distinct eccentricity distributions in the LVK band and can contribute hundreds of additional low-SNR mHz sources. Specifically, our model yields a merger rate of $Γ\sim 9 \mathrm{Gpc}^{-3}\mathrm{yr}^{-1}$ and $\sim 490$ extragalactic mHz BBHs with $\mathrm{SNR} > 1$. However, due to the lower mass and weaker GW signals of stellar-mass BBHs, this number declines sharply at higher detection thresholds (e.g., $\sim 1$ for $\mathrm{SNR} > 8$). We further highlight the impact of eccentric BBH signals on the LISA global fit, showing that their individual harmonics can be independently detected in the Milky Way, and may mimic circular binaries with systematically biased chirp masses. Lastly, we show that post-Newtonian waveforms converge reliably for eccentric BBHs with masses of $\lesssim 10^3 M_\odot$ in the mHz band. Overall, eccentric BBHs represent a prevalent and promising target for future space-based GW observatories. The simulated catalog and the LISA Eccentricity Astrophysics Package (LEAP) developed in this work are publicly available at https://github.com/zeyuanxuan/lisa-leap/.
title Eccentric Stellar-mass Binary Black Holes: Population, Detectability, and Waveform Analysis in the LISA and LIGO Era
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.15265