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Auteurs principaux: Li, Jiawei, Bonassi, Fabio, Jin, Ming, Gustafsson, Stefan, Sundström, Johan, Schön, Thomas B., Ribeiro, Antônio H.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.17276
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author Li, Jiawei
Bonassi, Fabio
Jin, Ming
Gustafsson, Stefan
Sundström, Johan
Schön, Thomas B.
Ribeiro, Antônio H.
author_facet Li, Jiawei
Bonassi, Fabio
Jin, Ming
Gustafsson, Stefan
Sundström, Johan
Schön, Thomas B.
Ribeiro, Antônio H.
contents While scaling laws have established a fundamental framework for foundation models in natural language processing, their applicability to electrocardiogram (ECG) models remains poorly characterized. Indeed, recent studies do not always yield consistent downstream gains as one increases the model size or pre-training dataset size of ECG models, leaving the exact roles of architectural inductive biases, pre-training paradigms, and expected improvements with size largely unanswered. In this work, we systematically investigate neural and loss-to-loss scaling laws within the ECG domain. By pre-training over $120$ models (ranging from $20$K to $200$M parameters) on the large-scale CODE dataset ($2.3$M records), we decouple the effects of model architecture (ResNet vs. Transformer) and pre-training paradigm, namely supervised learning (SL) versus self-supervised learning (SSL). We found that (i) SL models are data-bottlenecked in-distribution, whereas SSL models scale robustly across both model and data sizes; (ii) for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, ResNets are $1.3$ to $2.5$ times more parameter-efficient than Transformers, while SSL is up to $16$ times more data-efficient and achieves up to $7.6$ times higher transfer efficiency than SL on unseen clinical tasks; (iii) across the observed scales, ResNet-based models generally achieve the lowest OOD loss, with SSL dominating on unseen clinical tasks and self-supervised Transformers overtaking at very large model sizes. Our results suggest that the path to effective ECG foundation models lies in the strategic alignment of architecture and paradigm rather than brute-force scaling.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_17276
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle How Do Electrocardiogram Models Scale?
Li, Jiawei
Bonassi, Fabio
Jin, Ming
Gustafsson, Stefan
Sundström, Johan
Schön, Thomas B.
Ribeiro, Antônio H.
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
While scaling laws have established a fundamental framework for foundation models in natural language processing, their applicability to electrocardiogram (ECG) models remains poorly characterized. Indeed, recent studies do not always yield consistent downstream gains as one increases the model size or pre-training dataset size of ECG models, leaving the exact roles of architectural inductive biases, pre-training paradigms, and expected improvements with size largely unanswered. In this work, we systematically investigate neural and loss-to-loss scaling laws within the ECG domain. By pre-training over $120$ models (ranging from $20$K to $200$M parameters) on the large-scale CODE dataset ($2.3$M records), we decouple the effects of model architecture (ResNet vs. Transformer) and pre-training paradigm, namely supervised learning (SL) versus self-supervised learning (SSL). We found that (i) SL models are data-bottlenecked in-distribution, whereas SSL models scale robustly across both model and data sizes; (ii) for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, ResNets are $1.3$ to $2.5$ times more parameter-efficient than Transformers, while SSL is up to $16$ times more data-efficient and achieves up to $7.6$ times higher transfer efficiency than SL on unseen clinical tasks; (iii) across the observed scales, ResNet-based models generally achieve the lowest OOD loss, with SSL dominating on unseen clinical tasks and self-supervised Transformers overtaking at very large model sizes. Our results suggest that the path to effective ECG foundation models lies in the strategic alignment of architecture and paradigm rather than brute-force scaling.
title How Do Electrocardiogram Models Scale?
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.17276