Electric Vehicle Charging Profile Forecasting Using Hybrid Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Ramaschi, Riccardo, Paolone, Mario, Leva, Sonia
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Ramaschi, Riccardo
Paolone, Mario
Leva, Sonia
author_facet Ramaschi, Riccardo
Paolone, Mario
Leva, Sonia
contents Electric Vehicle (EV) fast charging stations require forecasting techniques both at the single charger level and aggregated level. While for the latter several models exist, forecasting individual EV charging profiles is still underexplored in literature. However, such methods may be potentially used by battery-aware scheduling, leading to a more granular update of the charging station aggregated forecast and provide a more accurate estimation of EVs departure times. Nonetheless, the variable extent of available information in time and in different settings could jeopardize these benefits. For this reason, we propose a hybrid and lightweight method to estimate the EV charging profile before and during the charging process. Besides evaluating this method on multiple EVs from a public dataset, we also assess the impact of different level of information in the time transposition of the charging profile.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_18443
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Electric Vehicle Charging Profile Forecasting Using Hybrid Models
Ramaschi, Riccardo
Paolone, Mario
Leva, Sonia
Systems and Control
Electric Vehicle (EV) fast charging stations require forecasting techniques both at the single charger level and aggregated level. While for the latter several models exist, forecasting individual EV charging profiles is still underexplored in literature. However, such methods may be potentially used by battery-aware scheduling, leading to a more granular update of the charging station aggregated forecast and provide a more accurate estimation of EVs departure times. Nonetheless, the variable extent of available information in time and in different settings could jeopardize these benefits. For this reason, we propose a hybrid and lightweight method to estimate the EV charging profile before and during the charging process. Besides evaluating this method on multiple EVs from a public dataset, we also assess the impact of different level of information in the time transposition of the charging profile.
title Electric Vehicle Charging Profile Forecasting Using Hybrid Models
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.18443