Monitoring the Internal Monologue: Probe Trajectories Reveal Reasoning Dynamics

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Chrabąszcz, Maciej, Szymczyk, Aleksander, Sendera, Marcin, Trzciński, Tomasz, Cygert, Sebastian
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Chrabąszcz, Maciej
Szymczyk, Aleksander
Sendera, Marcin
Trzciński, Tomasz
Cygert, Sebastian
author_facet Chrabąszcz, Maciej
Szymczyk, Aleksander
Sendera, Marcin
Trzciński, Tomasz
Cygert, Sebastian
contents Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) introduce new opportunities for safety monitoring through their Chain of Thought (CoT) reasoning. However, CoT is not always faithful to the model's final output, undermining its reliability as a monitoring tool. To address this, we investigate the hidden representations of LRMs to determine whether future behavior can be predicted from prompt and CoT representations. By evaluating a probe at each generated token, we construct a probe trajectory, the continuous evolution of a concept's probability across the reasoning process. We find that future model behavior is more distinguishable when examined over the full trajectory than from a single static prediction. To characterize these temporal dynamics, we extract signal-processing features that capture volatility, trend, and steady-state behavior, significantly improving the separation of future model states. We also present two methodological insights. First, template-based training data achieves near-parity with dynamically generated model responses, eliminating the need for a costly initial inference and labeling. Second, the choice of pooling operation is critical: average-pooling and last-token methods collapse to near-random performance, while max-pooling achieves up to 95% AUROC and yields stable probe trajectories. Using four datasets and four reasoning models across the domains of safety and mathematics, we demonstrate that trajectory features encode task-specific dynamics that improve outcome separability. These findings establish probe trajectories as a complementary framework for monitoring LRM behavior. Warning: This article contains potentially harmful content.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_18549
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Monitoring the Internal Monologue: Probe Trajectories Reveal Reasoning Dynamics
Chrabąszcz, Maciej
Szymczyk, Aleksander
Sendera, Marcin
Trzciński, Tomasz
Cygert, Sebastian
Computation and Language
Cryptography and Security
Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) introduce new opportunities for safety monitoring through their Chain of Thought (CoT) reasoning. However, CoT is not always faithful to the model's final output, undermining its reliability as a monitoring tool. To address this, we investigate the hidden representations of LRMs to determine whether future behavior can be predicted from prompt and CoT representations. By evaluating a probe at each generated token, we construct a probe trajectory, the continuous evolution of a concept's probability across the reasoning process. We find that future model behavior is more distinguishable when examined over the full trajectory than from a single static prediction. To characterize these temporal dynamics, we extract signal-processing features that capture volatility, trend, and steady-state behavior, significantly improving the separation of future model states. We also present two methodological insights. First, template-based training data achieves near-parity with dynamically generated model responses, eliminating the need for a costly initial inference and labeling. Second, the choice of pooling operation is critical: average-pooling and last-token methods collapse to near-random performance, while max-pooling achieves up to 95% AUROC and yields stable probe trajectories. Using four datasets and four reasoning models across the domains of safety and mathematics, we demonstrate that trajectory features encode task-specific dynamics that improve outcome separability. These findings establish probe trajectories as a complementary framework for monitoring LRM behavior. Warning: This article contains potentially harmful content.
title Monitoring the Internal Monologue: Probe Trajectories Reveal Reasoning Dynamics
topic Computation and Language
Cryptography and Security
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.18549