Probabilistic Recursively Feasible Motion Planning Under Uncertain Environments

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Sung, Hyeontae, Ham, Hyeongchan, Park, Junyoung, Ren, Kai, Ahn, Heejin
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Sung, Hyeontae
Ham, Hyeongchan
Park, Junyoung
Ren, Kai
Ahn, Heejin
author_facet Sung, Hyeontae
Ham, Hyeongchan
Park, Junyoung
Ren, Kai
Ahn, Heejin
contents Safe motion planning in uncertain, time-varying environments is challenging because the safe region can change unpredictably across planning steps, often causing a loss of recursive feasibility. In this work, we present a Probabilistic Recursively Feasible Model Predictive Control (PRF-MPC) framework that guarantees recursive feasibility with a specified probability. We introduce properties that an ideal predictor should satisfy to ensure distributional consistency, and use these properties to derive closed-form expressions for the means and covariances of trajectories predicted at future time steps. Building on this analysis, we construct safety constraints that ensure, with high probability, that the current safe set is contained within the safe sets at future time steps, thereby probabilistically guaranteeing recursive feasibility. Simulation results on a lane-change scenario demonstrate that the proposed method significantly improves recursive feasibility.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_19015
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Probabilistic Recursively Feasible Motion Planning Under Uncertain Environments
Sung, Hyeontae
Ham, Hyeongchan
Park, Junyoung
Ren, Kai
Ahn, Heejin
Systems and Control
Robotics
Safe motion planning in uncertain, time-varying environments is challenging because the safe region can change unpredictably across planning steps, often causing a loss of recursive feasibility. In this work, we present a Probabilistic Recursively Feasible Model Predictive Control (PRF-MPC) framework that guarantees recursive feasibility with a specified probability. We introduce properties that an ideal predictor should satisfy to ensure distributional consistency, and use these properties to derive closed-form expressions for the means and covariances of trajectories predicted at future time steps. Building on this analysis, we construct safety constraints that ensure, with high probability, that the current safe set is contained within the safe sets at future time steps, thereby probabilistically guaranteeing recursive feasibility. Simulation results on a lane-change scenario demonstrate that the proposed method significantly improves recursive feasibility.
title Probabilistic Recursively Feasible Motion Planning Under Uncertain Environments
topic Systems and Control
Robotics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.19015