Inferring the role of binary neutron star mergers in r-process nucleosynthesis with multi-messenger observations using Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope

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Main Authors: Agarwal, Aman, Mukherjee, Suvodip, Siegel, Daniel M.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Agarwal, Aman
Mukherjee, Suvodip
Siegel, Daniel M.
author_facet Agarwal, Aman
Mukherjee, Suvodip
Siegel, Daniel M.
contents Identifying the cosmic origin of rapid neutron-capture (r-process) elements remains an open problem. Binary neutron-star (BNS) mergers and rare classes of core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe) represent the main contenders as major r-process production sites. Although BNS mergers could exclusively account for r-process nucleosynthesis, results from chemical evolution studies taking into account their delays with respect to star formation, observed BNS rates by gravitational-wave (GW) detectors, as well as issues with retention in low-mass halos suggest otherwise. Here, we propose a method to measure the contribution of BNS mergers to cosmic r-process nucleosynthesis with the third-generation GW detectors Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope. It exploits the redshift-dependent correlation between the total number of BNS GW events and the average r-process abundances at redshifts $z \lesssim 1$. We apply this correlation technique to mock GW and abundance data, accounting for expected observational uncertainties in two limiting scenarios: GW events with electromagnetic counterpart (multi-messenger 'bright-sirens') and without ('dark-sirens'). Using Fisher forecasts, we demonstrate that the fractional cumulative contribution of BNS mergers to the total cosmic r-process $F_{\rm{BNS,z0}}$ can be estimated to the $\lesssim 5-6\%$ precision level for both scenarios at $1σ$ for fiducial astrophysical scenarios with $F_{\rm{BNS,z0}} \gtrsim 0.1-1$. Furthermore, the method also yields estimates of the BNS delay-time distribution parameters comparable to other approaches. Although cosmic r-process abundances may be reconstructed from local observations at low metallicity, this method also provides a science case to identify signatures of neutron-capture elements beyond the local Universe.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_23554
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Inferring the role of binary neutron star mergers in r-process nucleosynthesis with multi-messenger observations using Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope
Agarwal, Aman
Mukherjee, Suvodip
Siegel, Daniel M.
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Identifying the cosmic origin of rapid neutron-capture (r-process) elements remains an open problem. Binary neutron-star (BNS) mergers and rare classes of core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe) represent the main contenders as major r-process production sites. Although BNS mergers could exclusively account for r-process nucleosynthesis, results from chemical evolution studies taking into account their delays with respect to star formation, observed BNS rates by gravitational-wave (GW) detectors, as well as issues with retention in low-mass halos suggest otherwise. Here, we propose a method to measure the contribution of BNS mergers to cosmic r-process nucleosynthesis with the third-generation GW detectors Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope. It exploits the redshift-dependent correlation between the total number of BNS GW events and the average r-process abundances at redshifts $z \lesssim 1$. We apply this correlation technique to mock GW and abundance data, accounting for expected observational uncertainties in two limiting scenarios: GW events with electromagnetic counterpart (multi-messenger 'bright-sirens') and without ('dark-sirens'). Using Fisher forecasts, we demonstrate that the fractional cumulative contribution of BNS mergers to the total cosmic r-process $F_{\rm{BNS,z0}}$ can be estimated to the $\lesssim 5-6\%$ precision level for both scenarios at $1σ$ for fiducial astrophysical scenarios with $F_{\rm{BNS,z0}} \gtrsim 0.1-1$. Furthermore, the method also yields estimates of the BNS delay-time distribution parameters comparable to other approaches. Although cosmic r-process abundances may be reconstructed from local observations at low metallicity, this method also provides a science case to identify signatures of neutron-capture elements beyond the local Universe.
title Inferring the role of binary neutron star mergers in r-process nucleosynthesis with multi-messenger observations using Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.23554