High-Dimensional Change-Point Detection via Angular Kernel Statistics

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Hauptverfasser: Choudhury, Jyotishka Ray, Xie, Yao
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Choudhury, Jyotishka Ray
Xie, Yao
author_facet Choudhury, Jyotishka Ray
Xie, Yao
contents We study change-point detection for high-dimensional data in regimes where inference must be performed from small batches of observations. Our primary focus is the high-dimensional, low sample size (HDLSS) regime, where the sequence length is fixed while the ambient dimension diverges. We propose a dimension-averaged angular kernel scan framework for detecting marginal distributional shifts. The statistic aggregates bounded one-dimensional angular discrepancies across coordinates, yielding a fully nonparametric, hyperparameter-free, and moment-agnostic estimator that remains well-defined without specifying, estimating, or assuming finite marginal moments, for example under heavy-tailed or contaminated distributions. For the offline single-change problem, we derive an exact population mean factorization into a universal deterministic shape function and a scalar signal factor, characterize the null covariance structure up to a scalar long-run variance factor, and establish an HDLSS multivariate central limit theorem under cross-coordinate mixing. These results lead to plug-in Gaussian calibration, asymptotic type-I error control, and power and localization guarantees, including a $d^{-1/2}$ local detection scale. We further extend the offline procedure to a fixed-window sequential monitoring procedure for high-dimensional streaming data, and obtain ARL calibration and worst-case EDD bounds. Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately detect and localize changes in challenging HDLSS and streaming settings where moment-based or hyperparameter-sensitive procedures may be unreliable.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_25855
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle High-Dimensional Change-Point Detection via Angular Kernel Statistics
Choudhury, Jyotishka Ray
Xie, Yao
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
62G10 (Primary), 62H15, 62L10, 62G20 (Secondary)
We study change-point detection for high-dimensional data in regimes where inference must be performed from small batches of observations. Our primary focus is the high-dimensional, low sample size (HDLSS) regime, where the sequence length is fixed while the ambient dimension diverges. We propose a dimension-averaged angular kernel scan framework for detecting marginal distributional shifts. The statistic aggregates bounded one-dimensional angular discrepancies across coordinates, yielding a fully nonparametric, hyperparameter-free, and moment-agnostic estimator that remains well-defined without specifying, estimating, or assuming finite marginal moments, for example under heavy-tailed or contaminated distributions. For the offline single-change problem, we derive an exact population mean factorization into a universal deterministic shape function and a scalar signal factor, characterize the null covariance structure up to a scalar long-run variance factor, and establish an HDLSS multivariate central limit theorem under cross-coordinate mixing. These results lead to plug-in Gaussian calibration, asymptotic type-I error control, and power and localization guarantees, including a $d^{-1/2}$ local detection scale. We further extend the offline procedure to a fixed-window sequential monitoring procedure for high-dimensional streaming data, and obtain ARL calibration and worst-case EDD bounds. Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately detect and localize changes in challenging HDLSS and streaming settings where moment-based or hyperparameter-sensitive procedures may be unreliable.
title High-Dimensional Change-Point Detection via Angular Kernel Statistics
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
62G10 (Primary), 62H15, 62L10, 62G20 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.25855