High-Quality Synthetic Financial Time-Series using a GAN-Diffusion Framework

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Masi, Giuseppe, Coletta, Andrea, Bartolini, Novella
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Masi, Giuseppe
Coletta, Andrea
Bartolini, Novella
author_facet Masi, Giuseppe
Coletta, Andrea
Bartolini, Novella
contents In recent years, financial institutions and firms have increasingly adopted synthetic data to address data scarcity and to generate counterfactual market scenarios. However, reproducing all the statistical properties of financial time series, commonly known as stylized facts, remains an open challenge for many existing general-purpose architectures. In this paper, we present a quality-aware generative framework that combines two classes of generative methods, demonstrating how their integration addresses existing limitations while enhancing the realism of synthetic data. Specifically, we first introduce CoMeTS-GAN (Correlated Multivariate Time Series GAN), a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (C-GAN) designed to jointly generate mid-price and volume time-series for correlated stocks. We then show how our GAN architecture can be incorporated into state-of-the-art diffusion models to enhance the quality of generated correlation structures. Specifically, the GAN's Critic serves as a quality evaluation module that guides the diffusion process, enforcing learned correlation structures in the generated time-series. Our framework offers a lightweight and responsive solution for realistic stock market simulation, explicitly modeling inter-asset correlation structures. We experimentally validate our framework against leading generative architectures, showing that it more effectively captures the stylized facts of stock markets and models inter-asset correlations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_27113
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle High-Quality Synthetic Financial Time-Series using a GAN-Diffusion Framework
Masi, Giuseppe
Coletta, Andrea
Bartolini, Novella
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
In recent years, financial institutions and firms have increasingly adopted synthetic data to address data scarcity and to generate counterfactual market scenarios. However, reproducing all the statistical properties of financial time series, commonly known as stylized facts, remains an open challenge for many existing general-purpose architectures. In this paper, we present a quality-aware generative framework that combines two classes of generative methods, demonstrating how their integration addresses existing limitations while enhancing the realism of synthetic data. Specifically, we first introduce CoMeTS-GAN (Correlated Multivariate Time Series GAN), a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (C-GAN) designed to jointly generate mid-price and volume time-series for correlated stocks. We then show how our GAN architecture can be incorporated into state-of-the-art diffusion models to enhance the quality of generated correlation structures. Specifically, the GAN's Critic serves as a quality evaluation module that guides the diffusion process, enforcing learned correlation structures in the generated time-series. Our framework offers a lightweight and responsive solution for realistic stock market simulation, explicitly modeling inter-asset correlation structures. We experimentally validate our framework against leading generative architectures, showing that it more effectively captures the stylized facts of stock markets and models inter-asset correlations.
title High-Quality Synthetic Financial Time-Series using a GAN-Diffusion Framework
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27113