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Auteurs principaux: Gois, Antonio, Gunluk, Sophia, Rosenfeld, Nir, Hegde, Nidhi, Lacoste-Julien, Simon, Sridhar, Dhanya
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27163
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author Gois, Antonio
Gunluk, Sophia
Rosenfeld, Nir
Hegde, Nidhi
Lacoste-Julien, Simon
Sridhar, Dhanya
author_facet Gois, Antonio
Gunluk, Sophia
Rosenfeld, Nir
Hegde, Nidhi
Lacoste-Julien, Simon
Sridhar, Dhanya
contents In strategic classification, an institution (e.g., a bank) anticipates adaptation from users who change their features to increase utility in a classification task (e.g., loan repayment). Since a key challenge is the distribution shift induced by users, we turn to causal models, which have been shown to bound the worst-case out-of-distribution (OOD) risk, and establish several new results that link causality and strategic classification. First, we show that causal classification leads to optimal classification error after any sufficiently large adaptation, when the noise is bounded in a certain way. Second, when these assumptions do not hold, we show OOD cross-entropy risk of optimal classifiers decomposes into an OOD bias term and a term arising from not using all observable features, allowing us to understand when causal classifiers have an advantage. Finally, we show that the use of causal features can allow alignment of long-term incentives between institutions and users, contrasting with previous work that highlights social costs of such approaches. We validate our theory empirically on synthetic data, finding that our results predict behavior in practice.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_27163
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Role of Causal Features in Strategic Classification for Robustness and Alignment
Gois, Antonio
Gunluk, Sophia
Rosenfeld, Nir
Hegde, Nidhi
Lacoste-Julien, Simon
Sridhar, Dhanya
Machine Learning
I.2.6; G.3
In strategic classification, an institution (e.g., a bank) anticipates adaptation from users who change their features to increase utility in a classification task (e.g., loan repayment). Since a key challenge is the distribution shift induced by users, we turn to causal models, which have been shown to bound the worst-case out-of-distribution (OOD) risk, and establish several new results that link causality and strategic classification. First, we show that causal classification leads to optimal classification error after any sufficiently large adaptation, when the noise is bounded in a certain way. Second, when these assumptions do not hold, we show OOD cross-entropy risk of optimal classifiers decomposes into an OOD bias term and a term arising from not using all observable features, allowing us to understand when causal classifiers have an advantage. Finally, we show that the use of causal features can allow alignment of long-term incentives between institutions and users, contrasting with previous work that highlights social costs of such approaches. We validate our theory empirically on synthetic data, finding that our results predict behavior in practice.
title The Role of Causal Features in Strategic Classification for Robustness and Alignment
topic Machine Learning
I.2.6; G.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27163