Chreode: A Cell World Model for One-Step Temporal Dynamics and Perturbation Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Qiu, Mufan, Zheng, Genhui, Xu, Yinuo, Zhang, Ruichen, Ding, Ying, Long, Qi, Chen, Tianlong
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Qiu, Mufan
Zheng, Genhui
Xu, Yinuo
Zhang, Ruichen
Ding, Ying
Long, Qi
Chen, Tianlong
author_facet Qiu, Mufan
Zheng, Genhui
Xu, Yinuo
Zhang, Ruichen
Ding, Ying
Long, Qi
Chen, Tianlong
contents Predicting how a cell will change its transcriptional state under a developmental signal or a genetic perturbation is the computational core of in-silico biology and the AI Virtual Cell program. Existing approaches either fit static control-to-treated maps that discard time, or solve multi-step ODE / Schrödinger-bridge problems on each dataset independently. We introduce Chreode, a one-step cell world model that predicts action-conditioned cell-state transitions through a structured residual transition operator. It shifts distributional evolution from inference time to training time, enabling single-pass generation while preserving a Waddington-inspired decomposition into downhill landscape flow, rotational in-tangent dynamics, and stochastic spread. The model is pretrained with a shared scVI encoder and a DiT-based dynamics backbone on a 2.4M-cell mouse embryonic atlas spanning 7 datasets. As a fine-tuning initialization, Chreode improves per-target Sinkhorn distance on Weinreb hematopoiesis and Veres islet differentiation over matched scratch models, PI-SDE, and PRESCIENT. As a transferable gene-state embedding for GEARS, the pretrained dynamics representation reduces shared-vocabulary DE20 mean squared error on Norman Perturb-seq from 0.2121 to 0.1858, a 12.4% relative improvement, without changing the GEARS training procedure. We interpret this transfer to perturbation prediction as evidence that pretrained developmental-trajectory dynamics encode differentiation primitives transferable to CRISPR-induced state shifts, since both involve cell-state transitions in a shared latent geometry. The pretrained backbone additionally produces zero-shot clonal fate scores on Weinreb that are competitive with strong dynamic-OT baselines.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_28111
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Chreode: A Cell World Model for One-Step Temporal Dynamics and Perturbation Prediction
Qiu, Mufan
Zheng, Genhui
Xu, Yinuo
Zhang, Ruichen
Ding, Ying
Long, Qi
Chen, Tianlong
Machine Learning
68T07, 92C42
I.2.6; J.3
Predicting how a cell will change its transcriptional state under a developmental signal or a genetic perturbation is the computational core of in-silico biology and the AI Virtual Cell program. Existing approaches either fit static control-to-treated maps that discard time, or solve multi-step ODE / Schrödinger-bridge problems on each dataset independently. We introduce Chreode, a one-step cell world model that predicts action-conditioned cell-state transitions through a structured residual transition operator. It shifts distributional evolution from inference time to training time, enabling single-pass generation while preserving a Waddington-inspired decomposition into downhill landscape flow, rotational in-tangent dynamics, and stochastic spread. The model is pretrained with a shared scVI encoder and a DiT-based dynamics backbone on a 2.4M-cell mouse embryonic atlas spanning 7 datasets. As a fine-tuning initialization, Chreode improves per-target Sinkhorn distance on Weinreb hematopoiesis and Veres islet differentiation over matched scratch models, PI-SDE, and PRESCIENT. As a transferable gene-state embedding for GEARS, the pretrained dynamics representation reduces shared-vocabulary DE20 mean squared error on Norman Perturb-seq from 0.2121 to 0.1858, a 12.4% relative improvement, without changing the GEARS training procedure. We interpret this transfer to perturbation prediction as evidence that pretrained developmental-trajectory dynamics encode differentiation primitives transferable to CRISPR-induced state shifts, since both involve cell-state transitions in a shared latent geometry. The pretrained backbone additionally produces zero-shot clonal fate scores on Weinreb that are competitive with strong dynamic-OT baselines.
title Chreode: A Cell World Model for One-Step Temporal Dynamics and Perturbation Prediction
topic Machine Learning
68T07, 92C42
I.2.6; J.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.28111