Mobile Foreigners: Mortgage Lock-In and H-1B Demand

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Altindag, Duha T., Nunley, John M., Seals, R. Alan
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Altindag, Duha T.
Nunley, John M.
Seals, R. Alan
author_facet Altindag, Duha T.
Nunley, John M.
Seals, R. Alan
contents The 2022 rise in U.S. mortgage rates increased relocation costs for homeowners with low-rate mortgages. This cost varies across destinations because each draws workers from a different mix of labor markets. We build an in-migration mortgage-payment wedge from HMDA loans and pre-shock IRS migration networks. From 2017 to 2024, higher wedges reduce college-educated homeowner in-migration, leave renters unaffected, and raise H-1B sponsorship requests. The implied offset is 14 H-1B sponsorship requests per 100 deterred college-educated domestic in-migrants. We show that mortgage lock-in operates as a destination-side labor-market shock that shifts part of firms' adjustment toward employer-sponsored immigration.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_28904
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Mobile Foreigners: Mortgage Lock-In and H-1B Demand
Altindag, Duha T.
Nunley, John M.
Seals, R. Alan
General Economics
Economics
The 2022 rise in U.S. mortgage rates increased relocation costs for homeowners with low-rate mortgages. This cost varies across destinations because each draws workers from a different mix of labor markets. We build an in-migration mortgage-payment wedge from HMDA loans and pre-shock IRS migration networks. From 2017 to 2024, higher wedges reduce college-educated homeowner in-migration, leave renters unaffected, and raise H-1B sponsorship requests. The implied offset is 14 H-1B sponsorship requests per 100 deterred college-educated domestic in-migrants. We show that mortgage lock-in operates as a destination-side labor-market shock that shifts part of firms' adjustment toward employer-sponsored immigration.
title Mobile Foreigners: Mortgage Lock-In and H-1B Demand
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.28904