On Distributional Reinforcement Learning in Chaotic Dynamical Systems

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Rudd-Jones, James, Musolesi, Mirco, Pérez-Ortiz, María
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Rudd-Jones, James
Musolesi, Mirco
Pérez-Ortiz, María
author_facet Rudd-Jones, James
Musolesi, Mirco
Pérez-Ortiz, María
contents Chaotic dynamical systems pose a fundamental challenge for Reinforcement Learning (RL): exponential sensitivity to initial conditions induces high-variance bootstrap targets and poorly conditioned gradient updates. Chaotic dynamics arise across scientific and engineering domains, from fluid flows and climate systems to multi-agent systems, where reliable learning is highly desirable. Standard RL methods optimise expected returns through scalar value functions, implicitly averaging over diverging trajectories and entangling trajectory level instability with the learning objective. We show that under mild statistical stability assumptions, the return distribution evolves more regularly than individual trajectories when measured under the $1$-Wasserstein metric, yielding a smoother distributional Bellman objective. By aligning optimisation with this measure level structure, distributional RL provides better conditioned learning. We offer a principled explanation for the advantages of distributional methods in chaotic systems and the geometries of RL objectives under chaos.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_30160
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On Distributional Reinforcement Learning in Chaotic Dynamical Systems
Rudd-Jones, James
Musolesi, Mirco
Pérez-Ortiz, María
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Chaotic dynamical systems pose a fundamental challenge for Reinforcement Learning (RL): exponential sensitivity to initial conditions induces high-variance bootstrap targets and poorly conditioned gradient updates. Chaotic dynamics arise across scientific and engineering domains, from fluid flows and climate systems to multi-agent systems, where reliable learning is highly desirable. Standard RL methods optimise expected returns through scalar value functions, implicitly averaging over diverging trajectories and entangling trajectory level instability with the learning objective. We show that under mild statistical stability assumptions, the return distribution evolves more regularly than individual trajectories when measured under the $1$-Wasserstein metric, yielding a smoother distributional Bellman objective. By aligning optimisation with this measure level structure, distributional RL provides better conditioned learning. We offer a principled explanation for the advantages of distributional methods in chaotic systems and the geometries of RL objectives under chaos.
title On Distributional Reinforcement Learning in Chaotic Dynamical Systems
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30160