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Autori principali: Wu, Zhihao, Gong, Gracia, Zhu, Qinglin, Chen, Yudong, Zhao, Runcong
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30501
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author Wu, Zhihao
Gong, Gracia
Zhu, Qinglin
Chen, Yudong
Zhao, Runcong
author_facet Wu, Zhihao
Gong, Gracia
Zhu, Qinglin
Chen, Yudong
Zhao, Runcong
contents Watermarking embeds statistical signatures in AI-generated text for detection and attribution. We reveal a fundamental vulnerability: when users access multiple models (today's reality), watermarks trivially fail. Watermarks perturb output distributions away from the original, and in competitive markets, these perturbations are typically independent across providers. We theoretically prove that averaging output probability distributions recovers the unwatermarked distribution with up to a second-order error term. Empirically, simply averaging 3-5 models cancels out these perturbations. We introduce WASH (Watermark Attenuation via Statistical Hybridisation), which solves practical challenges in ensemble generation: vocabulary misalignment and tokenisation differences across heterogeneous models. Experiments across six watermarking schemes and three LLMs show that averaging across 3 models suppresses detection z-scores from 5-300 to below 2 (below the detection threshold of 4) and reduces TPR at 5% FPR to below 50%, while improving quality by 27.5% and running 6 times faster than the best baseline on the long sequence generation. Our results suggest that robust AI-text detection via watermarking requires either accepting this fundamental vulnerability or unprecedented coordination among model providers.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2605_30501
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Linear Ensembles Wash Away Watermarks: On the Fragility of Distributional Perturbations in LLMs
Wu, Zhihao
Gong, Gracia
Zhu, Qinglin
Chen, Yudong
Zhao, Runcong
Computation and Language
Watermarking embeds statistical signatures in AI-generated text for detection and attribution. We reveal a fundamental vulnerability: when users access multiple models (today's reality), watermarks trivially fail. Watermarks perturb output distributions away from the original, and in competitive markets, these perturbations are typically independent across providers. We theoretically prove that averaging output probability distributions recovers the unwatermarked distribution with up to a second-order error term. Empirically, simply averaging 3-5 models cancels out these perturbations. We introduce WASH (Watermark Attenuation via Statistical Hybridisation), which solves practical challenges in ensemble generation: vocabulary misalignment and tokenisation differences across heterogeneous models. Experiments across six watermarking schemes and three LLMs show that averaging across 3 models suppresses detection z-scores from 5-300 to below 2 (below the detection threshold of 4) and reduces TPR at 5% FPR to below 50%, while improving quality by 27.5% and running 6 times faster than the best baseline on the long sequence generation. Our results suggest that robust AI-text detection via watermarking requires either accepting this fundamental vulnerability or unprecedented coordination among model providers.
title Linear Ensembles Wash Away Watermarks: On the Fragility of Distributional Perturbations in LLMs
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30501