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Main Authors: Coleman, Sarah M., Zhang, H. Sherry, Lucchesi, Lydia R., Roy, Saptarshi
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.00128
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author Coleman, Sarah M.
Zhang, H. Sherry
Lucchesi, Lydia R.
Roy, Saptarshi
author_facet Coleman, Sarah M.
Zhang, H. Sherry
Lucchesi, Lydia R.
Roy, Saptarshi
contents Each year the American Statistical Association (ASA) hosts the Annual Data Challenge Expo, which tasks participants with analyzing a given dataset and presenting their work at the Joint Statistical Meeting (JSM). The 2025 Data Challenge Expo tasked participants with analyzing over 35 years of commercial flight data from the United States Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS). These data provide extensive geographic coverage and operational details for the U.S. domestic aviation market. For millions of past flights, there is information about the flight's date, origin, destination, carrier, plane, departure, and arrival. In this article, we present our analysis for the 2025 JSM Data Challenge Expo. We chose to explore patterns in the daily scheduling of departures and arrivals across airlines, airports, and time. In doing so, we observed distinct scheduling ``waves'', or periodic structures at major airline hubs as well as large Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) hubs. In the remainder of this article, we detail the process of visualizing periodicity in flight scheduling as well as quantifying it through the calculation of Shannon entropy. An additional element to the 2025 Data Challenge Expo is the incorporation of a second dataset, to be decided by the participants. We detail the use of a BTS dataset with passenger enplanement (boarding) information to determine Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) hub classification (as opposed to airline-specific hubs). Furthermore, we discuss results from this visual and quantitative analysis, highlighting noticeable differences in the scheduling periodicity and entropy across airports, for the ``big four'' or four largest carriers, in U.S. aviation: American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2606_00128
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Exploring the periodicity of flight patterns
Coleman, Sarah M.
Zhang, H. Sherry
Lucchesi, Lydia R.
Roy, Saptarshi
Applications
Each year the American Statistical Association (ASA) hosts the Annual Data Challenge Expo, which tasks participants with analyzing a given dataset and presenting their work at the Joint Statistical Meeting (JSM). The 2025 Data Challenge Expo tasked participants with analyzing over 35 years of commercial flight data from the United States Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS). These data provide extensive geographic coverage and operational details for the U.S. domestic aviation market. For millions of past flights, there is information about the flight's date, origin, destination, carrier, plane, departure, and arrival. In this article, we present our analysis for the 2025 JSM Data Challenge Expo. We chose to explore patterns in the daily scheduling of departures and arrivals across airlines, airports, and time. In doing so, we observed distinct scheduling ``waves'', or periodic structures at major airline hubs as well as large Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) hubs. In the remainder of this article, we detail the process of visualizing periodicity in flight scheduling as well as quantifying it through the calculation of Shannon entropy. An additional element to the 2025 Data Challenge Expo is the incorporation of a second dataset, to be decided by the participants. We detail the use of a BTS dataset with passenger enplanement (boarding) information to determine Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) hub classification (as opposed to airline-specific hubs). Furthermore, we discuss results from this visual and quantitative analysis, highlighting noticeable differences in the scheduling periodicity and entropy across airports, for the ``big four'' or four largest carriers, in U.S. aviation: American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines.
title Exploring the periodicity of flight patterns
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.00128