Global Patterns in Student Stress and Academic Performance: A Machine Learning Study Using PISA 2022

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Ghazanchyan, Ani, Kumar, Sachin
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Ghazanchyan, Ani
Kumar, Sachin
author_facet Ghazanchyan, Ani
Kumar, Sachin
contents Machine learning was applied to examine whether stress-related factors influence student performance in a consistent way across the world. The main goal of this project is to confirm or reject the existence of a similar global pattern by generalizing the findings that already exist in this field. We focused on various psychological indicators such as anxiety score, test anxiety, math anxiety, math confidence, wellbeing, and sense of belonging, along with several non-psychological factors for context. Machine learning was chosen due to the extremely large size of the PISA 2022 dataset and its ability to capture complex relationships that simpler methods may overlook. The analysis was conducted across six continents by splitting the dataset into six separate case studies. Feature engineering was performed manually for each region, while the same baseline models were trained to ensure a fair comparison. The results show that the negative effect of stress on performance is present and fairly consistent across all continents. Although some error remains, partly because stress is not the only factor shaping academic outcomes, the overall pattern is clear. Africa stood out as an outlier due to lower average educational and wellbeing levels and a higher proportion of missing data, yet even there the negative relationship remained observable.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2606_00791
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Global Patterns in Student Stress and Academic Performance: A Machine Learning Study Using PISA 2022
Ghazanchyan, Ani
Kumar, Sachin
Computers and Society
Machine learning was applied to examine whether stress-related factors influence student performance in a consistent way across the world. The main goal of this project is to confirm or reject the existence of a similar global pattern by generalizing the findings that already exist in this field. We focused on various psychological indicators such as anxiety score, test anxiety, math anxiety, math confidence, wellbeing, and sense of belonging, along with several non-psychological factors for context. Machine learning was chosen due to the extremely large size of the PISA 2022 dataset and its ability to capture complex relationships that simpler methods may overlook. The analysis was conducted across six continents by splitting the dataset into six separate case studies. Feature engineering was performed manually for each region, while the same baseline models were trained to ensure a fair comparison. The results show that the negative effect of stress on performance is present and fairly consistent across all continents. Although some error remains, partly because stress is not the only factor shaping academic outcomes, the overall pattern is clear. Africa stood out as an outlier due to lower average educational and wellbeing levels and a higher proportion of missing data, yet even there the negative relationship remained observable.
title Global Patterns in Student Stress and Academic Performance: A Machine Learning Study Using PISA 2022
topic Computers and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.00791