TimeSage-MT: A Multi-Turn Benchmark for Evaluating Agentic Time Series Reasoning

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Kong, Yaxuan, Yao, Qingren, Nie, Yuqi, Li, Yichen, Shao, Yilei, Zohren, Stefan, Vettoruzzo, Anna, Vanschoren, Joaquin, Jin, Ming, Wen, Qingsong
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Kong, Yaxuan
Yao, Qingren
Nie, Yuqi
Li, Yichen
Shao, Yilei
Zohren, Stefan
Vettoruzzo, Anna
Vanschoren, Joaquin
Jin, Ming
Wen, Qingsong
author_facet Kong, Yaxuan
Yao, Qingren
Nie, Yuqi
Li, Yichen
Shao, Yilei
Zohren, Stefan
Vettoruzzo, Anna
Vanschoren, Joaquin
Jin, Ming
Wen, Qingsong
contents Time series data inform critical decisions across many real-world domains. While large language model (LLM) agents can analyze data through natural language and tools, it remains unclear whether they can conduct reliable time series analysis across multi-turn conversations. Existing benchmarks focus on single-step tasks such as forecasting and anomaly detection, overlooking practical workflows where user goals evolve, agents must build on prior analyses, and conclusions emerge from accumulated evidence. In this work, we introduce TimeSage-MT, a multi-turn benchmark for agentic time series reasoning with 240 tasks and 2,680 dialogue turns across 8 real-world domains, spanning basic exploration to decision-oriented analysis. TimeSage-MT is built through a reproducible pipeline that converts real-world time series data into multi-turn conversations with verifiable answers. It provides a unified evaluation protocol and public leaderboard for comparing time series agentic systems. To demonstrate the benchmark's utility, we evaluate frontier LLMs alongside TimeSage, a novel structured agent equipped with a comprehensive time series skill library. The results show sharp performance drops on decision-oriented tasks, driven by failures in memory, uncertainty handling, and domain-based decision making. TimeSage-MT exposes critical gaps in current agentic reasoning and provides a rigorous foundation for future development.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2606_01498
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle TimeSage-MT: A Multi-Turn Benchmark for Evaluating Agentic Time Series Reasoning
Kong, Yaxuan
Yao, Qingren
Nie, Yuqi
Li, Yichen
Shao, Yilei
Zohren, Stefan
Vettoruzzo, Anna
Vanschoren, Joaquin
Jin, Ming
Wen, Qingsong
Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Time series data inform critical decisions across many real-world domains. While large language model (LLM) agents can analyze data through natural language and tools, it remains unclear whether they can conduct reliable time series analysis across multi-turn conversations. Existing benchmarks focus on single-step tasks such as forecasting and anomaly detection, overlooking practical workflows where user goals evolve, agents must build on prior analyses, and conclusions emerge from accumulated evidence. In this work, we introduce TimeSage-MT, a multi-turn benchmark for agentic time series reasoning with 240 tasks and 2,680 dialogue turns across 8 real-world domains, spanning basic exploration to decision-oriented analysis. TimeSage-MT is built through a reproducible pipeline that converts real-world time series data into multi-turn conversations with verifiable answers. It provides a unified evaluation protocol and public leaderboard for comparing time series agentic systems. To demonstrate the benchmark's utility, we evaluate frontier LLMs alongside TimeSage, a novel structured agent equipped with a comprehensive time series skill library. The results show sharp performance drops on decision-oriented tasks, driven by failures in memory, uncertainty handling, and domain-based decision making. TimeSage-MT exposes critical gaps in current agentic reasoning and provides a rigorous foundation for future development.
title TimeSage-MT: A Multi-Turn Benchmark for Evaluating Agentic Time Series Reasoning
topic Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.01498