Stochastic spatial models of plant diseases

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Brown, David H.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2001
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author Brown, David H.
author_facet Brown, David H.
contents I present three models of plant--pathogen interactions. The models are stochastic and spatially explicit at the scale of individual plants. For each model, I use a version of pair approximation or moment closure along with a separation of timescales argument to determine the effects of spatial clustering on threshold structure. By computing the spatial structure early in an invasion, I find explicit corrections to mean field theory. In the first chapter, I present a lattice model of a disease that is not directly lethal to its host, but affects its ability to compete with neighbors. I use a type of pair approximation to determine conditions for invasions and coexistence. In the second chapter, I study a basic SIR epidemic point process in continuous space. I implement a multiplicative moment closure scheme to compute the threshold transmission rate as a function of spatial parameters. In the final chapter, I model the evolution of pathogen resistance when two plant species share a pathogen. Evolution may lead to non--resistance by a host that finds the disease to be a useful weapon. I use a lattice model with the ordinary pair approximation assumption to study phenotypic evolution via repeated invasions by novel strains.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_math_0112094
institution arXiv
publishDate 2001
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Stochastic spatial models of plant diseases
Brown, David H.
Numerical Analysis
Probability
Quantitative Biology
92D40 (Primary) 60K35 (Secondary)
I present three models of plant--pathogen interactions. The models are stochastic and spatially explicit at the scale of individual plants. For each model, I use a version of pair approximation or moment closure along with a separation of timescales argument to determine the effects of spatial clustering on threshold structure. By computing the spatial structure early in an invasion, I find explicit corrections to mean field theory. In the first chapter, I present a lattice model of a disease that is not directly lethal to its host, but affects its ability to compete with neighbors. I use a type of pair approximation to determine conditions for invasions and coexistence. In the second chapter, I study a basic SIR epidemic point process in continuous space. I implement a multiplicative moment closure scheme to compute the threshold transmission rate as a function of spatial parameters. In the final chapter, I model the evolution of pathogen resistance when two plant species share a pathogen. Evolution may lead to non--resistance by a host that finds the disease to be a useful weapon. I use a lattice model with the ordinary pair approximation assumption to study phenotypic evolution via repeated invasions by novel strains.
title Stochastic spatial models of plant diseases
topic Numerical Analysis
Probability
Quantitative Biology
92D40 (Primary) 60K35 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0112094