The scars of youth: effects of early-career unemployment on future unemployment experience

Fuente: Organización Internacional del Trabajo (OIT)
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Autori principali: Achim Schmillen, Matthias Umkehrer
Natura: Artículo científico
Pubblicazione: International Labour Organization 2017
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author Achim Schmillen
Matthias Umkehrer
author_facet Achim Schmillen
Matthias Umkehrer
Achim Schmillen
Matthias Umkehrer
contents The scars of youth: effects of early-career unemployment on future unemployment experience Achim Schmillen Matthias Umkehrer Does early‐career unemployment cause future unemployment? The authors approach this question using German administrative matched employer–employee data that track almost 700,000 individuals over 24 years. Instrumenting early‐career unemployment with firm‐specific labour demand shocks, they find significant and long‐lasting “scarring effects”. In the mean, each additional day of unemployment during the first eight years on the labour market increases unemployment in the following 16 years by half a day. However, quantile regressions show that the scarring effects are much stronger for individuals who already suffer from lengthy and repeated spells of unemployment. 10.1111/ilr.12079 DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/ilr.12079 publication.journalArticle
format Artículo científico
id ilo_995218799002676
institution Organización Internacional del Trabajo (OIT)
publishDate 2017
publisher International Labour Organization
spellingShingle The scars of youth: effects of early-career unemployment on future unemployment experience
Achim Schmillen
Matthias Umkehrer
The scars of youth: effects of early-career unemployment on future unemployment experience Achim Schmillen Matthias Umkehrer Does early‐career unemployment cause future unemployment? The authors approach this question using German administrative matched employer–employee data that track almost 700,000 individuals over 24 years. Instrumenting early‐career unemployment with firm‐specific labour demand shocks, they find significant and long‐lasting “scarring effects”. In the mean, each additional day of unemployment during the first eight years on the labour market increases unemployment in the following 16 years by half a day. However, quantile regressions show that the scarring effects are much stronger for individuals who already suffer from lengthy and repeated spells of unemployment. 10.1111/ilr.12079 DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/ilr.12079 publication.journalArticle
title The scars of youth: effects of early-career unemployment on future unemployment experience
url https://researchrepository.ilo.org/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/The-scars-of-youth-effects-of/995218799002676