Does output predict unemployment?: a look at Okun's law in Greece

Fuente: Organización Internacional del Trabajo (OIT)
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Autori principali: Costas Karfakis, Constantinos Katrakilidis, Eftychia Tsanana
Natura: Artículo científico
Pubblicazione: International Labour Organization 2014
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author Costas Karfakis
Constantinos Katrakilidis
Eftychia Tsanana
author_facet Costas Karfakis
Constantinos Katrakilidis
Eftychia Tsanana
Costas Karfakis
Constantinos Katrakilidis
Eftychia Tsanana
contents Does output predict unemployment?: a look at Okun's law in Greece Costas Karfakis Constantinos Katrakilidis Eftychia Tsanana Using a dynamic specification of Okun's law, the authors examine the relationship between unemployment and output in Greece over the period 2000–12. While Granger causality tests indicate that real output is important to understanding future movements in unemployment, Okun's ratio is found to be 3:1, implying that a 1 per cent increase in unemployment was associated with a 3 per cent decrease in real output during the 13‐year period under study. Also, asymmetric analysis shows that the response of unemployment to real output is stronger during contractions of real economic activity than in expansionary periods. 10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014.00018.x DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014.00018.x publication.journalArticle
format Artículo científico
id ilo_995218830302676
institution Organización Internacional del Trabajo (OIT)
publishDate 2014
publisher International Labour Organization
spellingShingle Does output predict unemployment?: a look at Okun's law in Greece
Costas Karfakis
Constantinos Katrakilidis
Eftychia Tsanana
Does output predict unemployment?: a look at Okun's law in Greece Costas Karfakis Constantinos Katrakilidis Eftychia Tsanana Using a dynamic specification of Okun's law, the authors examine the relationship between unemployment and output in Greece over the period 2000–12. While Granger causality tests indicate that real output is important to understanding future movements in unemployment, Okun's ratio is found to be 3:1, implying that a 1 per cent increase in unemployment was associated with a 3 per cent decrease in real output during the 13‐year period under study. Also, asymmetric analysis shows that the response of unemployment to real output is stronger during contractions of real economic activity than in expansionary periods. 10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014.00018.x DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014.00018.x publication.journalArticle
title Does output predict unemployment?: a look at Okun's law in Greece
url https://researchrepository.ilo.org/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/Does-output-predict-unemployment-a-look/995218830302676