Analysing migrants’ fertility behaviour using machine learning techniques: an application of random survival forest to French data

Fuente: Organización Internacional del Trabajo (OIT)
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Hauptverfasser: Isaure Delaporte, Hill Kulu
Format: Entrada de enciclopedia
Veröffentlicht: International Labour Organization 2022
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author Isaure Delaporte
Hill Kulu
author_facet Isaure Delaporte
Hill Kulu
Isaure Delaporte
Hill Kulu
contents Analysing migrants’ fertility behaviour using machine learning techniques: an application of random survival forest to French data Isaure Delaporte Hill Kulu Survival and event history analyses have become widely used techniques in life-course and longitudinal research. Machine learning methods such as survival trees and tree ensembles are a useful alternative to classical methods. This paper aims to illustrate the advantages of random survival forest (RSF). We apply the method to analyse migrant fertility: the probability of having a first, second and third birth among immigrants and their descendants in France. The results of the RSF indicate that even though immigrants have a higher probability of having a birth than natives, highly educated immigrants are much closer to natives in their childbearing patterns than low educated migrants. Our findings illustrate the usefulness of machine leaning techniques in two ways. First, RSF allows us to easily identify the most important predictors of a life event. Second, it allows us to detect and visualize interactions and therefore to identify groups of individuals with different survival probability. MigrantLife Working Paper, 7, MigrantLife project publication.encyclopediaEntry
format Entrada de enciclopedia
id ilo_995369893102676
institution Organización Internacional del Trabajo (OIT)
publishDate 2022
publisher International Labour Organization
spellingShingle Analysing migrants’ fertility behaviour using machine learning techniques: an application of random survival forest to French data
Isaure Delaporte
Hill Kulu
Analysing migrants’ fertility behaviour using machine learning techniques: an application of random survival forest to French data Isaure Delaporte Hill Kulu Survival and event history analyses have become widely used techniques in life-course and longitudinal research. Machine learning methods such as survival trees and tree ensembles are a useful alternative to classical methods. This paper aims to illustrate the advantages of random survival forest (RSF). We apply the method to analyse migrant fertility: the probability of having a first, second and third birth among immigrants and their descendants in France. The results of the RSF indicate that even though immigrants have a higher probability of having a birth than natives, highly educated immigrants are much closer to natives in their childbearing patterns than low educated migrants. Our findings illustrate the usefulness of machine leaning techniques in two ways. First, RSF allows us to easily identify the most important predictors of a life event. Second, it allows us to detect and visualize interactions and therefore to identify groups of individuals with different survival probability. MigrantLife Working Paper, 7, MigrantLife project publication.encyclopediaEntry
title Analysing migrants’ fertility behaviour using machine learning techniques: an application of random survival forest to French data
url https://researchrepository.ilo.org/esploro/outputs/encyclopediaEntry/Analysing-migrants-fertility-behaviour-using-machine/995369893102676