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| Format: | Artículo científico |
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International Labour Organization
2025
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| Online Access: | https://researchrepository.ilo.org/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/The-dynamics-of-disappearing-routine-jobs/995675366702676 |
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| _version_ | 1874524917761835015 |
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| author | Isaure Delaporte Werner Peña |
| author_facet | Isaure Delaporte Werner Peña Isaure Delaporte Werner Peña |
| contents | The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs in Chile: An analysis of the link between deroutinisation and informality Isaure Delaporte Werner Peña In spite of the growing literature on deroutinisation, little is known about the individual-level patterns underlying the decline of routine jobs and the link with informal employment in middle-income countries. To fill this gap, we analyse the flows of routine workers into and out of formal and informal routine and non-routine occupations over the period 1980–2015 in Chile. Using rich longitudinal data from the Social Protection Survey, we reconstruct individuals’ occupational trajectories by classifying individuals based on their ISCO-88 2-digit level occupations into different states on a monthly basis. We then estimate a series of multilevel competing risk event history models and adopt a decomposition flow approach to study the flows underlying the decline of routine occupations over time. Our findings indicate a process of displacement and occupational downgrading for routine manual workers: workers in routine manual formal employment increasingly become non-employed or use informality as a buffer against job loss, and workers in routine manual informal employment become unemployed or transit to non-routine manual informal occupations. Our decomposition analysis shows that the decline in the share of routine occupations in Chile is mostly accounted for by a decrease in the inflow transition rate from unemployment, coupled with an increase in the outflow transition rates to unemployment. Lastly, we find that, over time, a larger proportion of individuals who were formally employed in RM occupations transit to informal employment after a period of unemployment. 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.106923 DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.106923 publication.journalArticle |
| format | Artículo científico |
| id | ilo_995675366702676 |
| institution | Organización Internacional del Trabajo (OIT) |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publisher | International Labour Organization |
| spellingShingle | The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs in Chile: An analysis of the link between deroutinisation and informality Isaure Delaporte Werner Peña The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs in Chile: An analysis of the link between deroutinisation and informality Isaure Delaporte Werner Peña In spite of the growing literature on deroutinisation, little is known about the individual-level patterns underlying the decline of routine jobs and the link with informal employment in middle-income countries. To fill this gap, we analyse the flows of routine workers into and out of formal and informal routine and non-routine occupations over the period 1980–2015 in Chile. Using rich longitudinal data from the Social Protection Survey, we reconstruct individuals’ occupational trajectories by classifying individuals based on their ISCO-88 2-digit level occupations into different states on a monthly basis. We then estimate a series of multilevel competing risk event history models and adopt a decomposition flow approach to study the flows underlying the decline of routine occupations over time. Our findings indicate a process of displacement and occupational downgrading for routine manual workers: workers in routine manual formal employment increasingly become non-employed or use informality as a buffer against job loss, and workers in routine manual informal employment become unemployed or transit to non-routine manual informal occupations. Our decomposition analysis shows that the decline in the share of routine occupations in Chile is mostly accounted for by a decrease in the inflow transition rate from unemployment, coupled with an increase in the outflow transition rates to unemployment. Lastly, we find that, over time, a larger proportion of individuals who were formally employed in RM occupations transit to informal employment after a period of unemployment. 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.106923 DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.106923 publication.journalArticle |
| title | The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs in Chile: An analysis of the link between deroutinisation and informality |
| url | https://researchrepository.ilo.org/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/The-dynamics-of-disappearing-routine-jobs/995675366702676 |