Holocene precipitation change in different monsoon sub-regions (time-slices and transient data) simulated by different global climate models, with links to model results

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Autori principali: Dallmeyer, Anne, Claussen, Martin, Fischer, Nils, Haberkorn, Kerstin, Wagner, Sebastian, Pfeiffer, Madlene, Jin, Liya, Khon, Vyacheslav, Wang, Yongbo, Herzschuh, Ulrike
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Lingua:en
Pubblicazione: PANGAEA 2014
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author Dallmeyer, Anne
Claussen, Martin
Fischer, Nils
Haberkorn, Kerstin
Wagner, Sebastian
Pfeiffer, Madlene
Jin, Liya
Khon, Vyacheslav
Wang, Yongbo
Herzschuh, Ulrike
author_facet Dallmeyer, Anne
Claussen, Martin
Fischer, Nils
Haberkorn, Kerstin
Wagner, Sebastian
Pfeiffer, Madlene
Jin, Liya
Khon, Vyacheslav
Wang, Yongbo
Herzschuh, Ulrike
collection Datos científicos de ciencias marinas y ambientales
contents The recently proposed global monsoon hypothesis interprets monsoon systems as part of one global-scale atmospheric overturning circulation, implying a connection between the regional monsoon systems and an in-phase behaviour of all northern hemispheric monsoons on annual timescales (Trenberth et al., 2000). Whether this concept can be applied to past climates and variability on longer timescales is still under debate, because the monsoon systems exhibit different regional characteristics such as different seasonality (i.e. onset, peak, and withdrawal). To investigate the interconnection of different monsoon systems during the pre-industrial Holocene, five transient global climate model simulations have been analysed with respect to the rainfall trend and variability in different sub-domains of the Afro-Asian monsoon region. Our analysis suggests that on millennial timescales with varying orbital forcing, the monsoons do not behave as a tightly connected global system. According to the models, the Indian and North African monsoons are coupled, showing similar rainfall trend and moderate correlation in rainfall variability in all models. The East Asian monsoon changes independently during the Holocene. The dissimilarities in the seasonality of the monsoon sub-systems lead to a stronger response of the North African and Indian monsoon systems to the Holocene insolation forcing than of the East Asian monsoon and affect the seasonal distribution of Holocene rainfall variations. Within the Indian and North African monsoon domain, precipitation solely changes during the summer months, showing a decreasing Holocene precipitation trend. In the East Asian monsoon region, the precipitation signal is determined by an increasing precipitation trend during spring and a decreasing precipitation change during summer, partly balancing each other. A synthesis of reconstructions and the model results do not reveal an impact of the different seasonality on the timing of the Holocene rainfall optimum in the different sub-monsoon systems. They rather indicate locally inhomogeneous rainfall changes and show, that single palaeo-records should not be used to characterise the rainfall change and monsoon evolution for entire monsoon sub-systems.
format Dataset Open Access
id pangaea_https___doi_org_10_1594_PANGAEA_837442
institution PANGAEA
language en
publishDate 2014
publisher PANGAEA
record_format pangaea
spellingShingle Holocene precipitation change in different monsoon sub-regions (time-slices and transient data) simulated by different global climate models, with links to model results
Dallmeyer, Anne
Claussen, Martin
Fischer, Nils
Haberkorn, Kerstin
Wagner, Sebastian
Pfeiffer, Madlene
Jin, Liya
Khon, Vyacheslav
Wang, Yongbo
Herzschuh, Ulrike
Comment; File content; File format; File name; File size; Integrierte Analyse zwischeneiszeitlicher Klimadynamik; INTERDYNAMIK; Reference of data; Uniform resource locator/link to file
The recently proposed global monsoon hypothesis interprets monsoon systems as part of one global-scale atmospheric overturning circulation, implying a connection between the regional monsoon systems and an in-phase behaviour of all northern hemispheric monsoons on annual timescales (Trenberth et al., 2000). Whether this concept can be applied to past climates and variability on longer timescales is still under debate, because the monsoon systems exhibit different regional characteristics such as different seasonality (i.e. onset, peak, and withdrawal). To investigate the interconnection of different monsoon systems during the pre-industrial Holocene, five transient global climate model simulations have been analysed with respect to the rainfall trend and variability in different sub-domains of the Afro-Asian monsoon region. Our analysis suggests that on millennial timescales with varying orbital forcing, the monsoons do not behave as a tightly connected global system. According to the models, the Indian and North African monsoons are coupled, showing similar rainfall trend and moderate correlation in rainfall variability in all models. The East Asian monsoon changes independently during the Holocene. The dissimilarities in the seasonality of the monsoon sub-systems lead to a stronger response of the North African and Indian monsoon systems to the Holocene insolation forcing than of the East Asian monsoon and affect the seasonal distribution of Holocene rainfall variations. Within the Indian and North African monsoon domain, precipitation solely changes during the summer months, showing a decreasing Holocene precipitation trend. In the East Asian monsoon region, the precipitation signal is determined by an increasing precipitation trend during spring and a decreasing precipitation change during summer, partly balancing each other. A synthesis of reconstructions and the model results do not reveal an impact of the different seasonality on the timing of the Holocene rainfall optimum in the different sub-monsoon systems. They rather indicate locally inhomogeneous rainfall changes and show, that single palaeo-records should not be used to characterise the rainfall change and monsoon evolution for entire monsoon sub-systems.
title Holocene precipitation change in different monsoon sub-regions (time-slices and transient data) simulated by different global climate models, with links to model results
topic Comment; File content; File format; File name; File size; Integrierte Analyse zwischeneiszeitlicher Klimadynamik; INTERDYNAMIK; Reference of data; Uniform resource locator/link to file
url https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.837442