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Main Authors: Chadburn, Sarah, Burke, Eleanor J, Cox, Peter, Friedlingstein, Pierre, Hugelius, Gustaf, Westermann, Sebastian
Format: Dataset Open Access
Language:en
Published: PANGAEA 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.873192
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author Chadburn, Sarah
Burke, Eleanor J
Cox, Peter
Friedlingstein, Pierre
Hugelius, Gustaf
Westermann, Sebastian
author_facet Chadburn, Sarah
Burke, Eleanor J
Cox, Peter
Friedlingstein, Pierre
Hugelius, Gustaf
Westermann, Sebastian
collection Datos científicos de ciencias marinas y ambientales
contents A globally applicable relationship between air temperature and permafrost areal fraction was derived using reanalysis air temperatures and the historical IPA permafrost map. This relationship defines a maximum, minimum and mean permafrost fraction at a given air temperature. Future air temperatures were estimated for a particular global mean warming, using the observed Arctic amplification and a pattern-scaling approach with the 1986-2005 mean air temperatures as the baseline. Here we show the estimated permafrost map, using our method, from the time of the IPA map ('historical' = 1960-1990), along with the estimated future permafrost maps using pattern-scaled air temperatures, for a range of global stabilisation temperatures (between 1 and 6 degree C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900)). For each global mean air temperature there is a maximum, minimum and mean permafrost extent according to our permafrost-air temperature relationships. The file naming is as follows: map_<deg><type>.nc, where <deg> is degrees of warming above pre-industrial climate, and <type> is one of max, min, or mean, indicating maximum, minimum or mean permafrost extent. The maps are global at 0.5 degree resolution.
format Dataset Open Access
id pangaea_https___doi_org_10_1594_PANGAEA_873192
institution PANGAEA
language en
publishDate 2017
publisher PANGAEA
record_format pangaea
spellingShingle Estimated future permafrost maps constrained by observed relationships, with link to model result files in NetCDF format
Chadburn, Sarah
Burke, Eleanor J
Cox, Peter
Friedlingstein, Pierre
Hugelius, Gustaf
Westermann, Sebastian

A globally applicable relationship between air temperature and permafrost areal fraction was derived using reanalysis air temperatures and the historical IPA permafrost map. This relationship defines a maximum, minimum and mean permafrost fraction at a given air temperature. Future air temperatures were estimated for a particular global mean warming, using the observed Arctic amplification and a pattern-scaling approach with the 1986-2005 mean air temperatures as the baseline. Here we show the estimated permafrost map, using our method, from the time of the IPA map ('historical' = 1960-1990), along with the estimated future permafrost maps using pattern-scaled air temperatures, for a range of global stabilisation temperatures (between 1 and 6 degree C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900)). For each global mean air temperature there is a maximum, minimum and mean permafrost extent according to our permafrost-air temperature relationships. The file naming is as follows: map_<deg><type>.nc, where <deg> is degrees of warming above pre-industrial climate, and <type> is one of max, min, or mean, indicating maximum, minimum or mean permafrost extent. The maps are global at 0.5 degree resolution.
title Estimated future permafrost maps constrained by observed relationships, with link to model result files in NetCDF format
topic
url https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.873192