Emerging evidence that armed conflict and coca cultivation influence deforestation patterns

Fuente: PANGAEA
Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Negret, Pablo Jose, Sonter, Laura, Watson, James E M, Possingham, Hugh P, Jones, Kendall R, Suarez, Cesar, Ochoa-Quintero, Jose Manuel, Maron, Martine
Format: Dataset Open Access
Sprache:en
Veröffentlicht: PANGAEA 2019
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
_version_ 1867168198013485056
author Negret, Pablo Jose
Sonter, Laura
Watson, James E M
Possingham, Hugh P
Jones, Kendall R
Suarez, Cesar
Ochoa-Quintero, Jose Manuel
Maron, Martine
author_facet Negret, Pablo Jose
Sonter, Laura
Watson, James E M
Possingham, Hugh P
Jones, Kendall R
Suarez, Cesar
Ochoa-Quintero, Jose Manuel
Maron, Martine
collection Datos científicos de ciencias marinas y ambientales
contents The effect of armed conflict on deforestation in biodiverse regions across Earth remains poorly understood. Its association with factors like illegal crop cultivation can obscure its effect on deforestation patterns. We used Colombia, a global biodiversity hotspot with a complex political history, to explore the association of both armed conflict and coca cultivation with deforestation patterns. We generated spatial predictions of deforestation pressure based on the period 2000-2015 to understand how armed conflict and coca cultivation are associated with spatial patterns of deforestation and assess the spatial distribution of deforestation pressure induced by armed conflict and coca cultivation. Deforestation was positively associated with armed conflict intensity and proximity to illegal coca plantations. A deforestation model including 14 variables was 67% accurate in predicting deforestation at a 10 km² resolution; removing armed conflict and coca cultivations from the deforestation model reduced its accuracy by 6%. Deforestation pressure induced by armed conflict and coca cultivation was highest in Tumaco and Catatumbo regions and in la Macarena, Sierra Nevada and San Lucas mountains—all areas of high biodiversity and conservation importance. In some regions, lack of governance after the peace accords is increasing armed conflict, and our results suggest that those increases in conflict may increase deforestation in those areas. The methods used here can be replicated to help understand the complex ways in which armed conflict affects deforestation patterns in other regions.
format Dataset Open Access
id pangaea_https___doi_org_10_1594_PANGAEA_899573
institution PANGAEA
language en
publishDate 2019
publisher PANGAEA
record_format pangaea
spellingShingle Emerging evidence that armed conflict and coca cultivation influence deforestation patterns
Negret, Pablo Jose
Sonter, Laura
Watson, James E M
Possingham, Hugh P
Jones, Kendall R
Suarez, Cesar
Ochoa-Quintero, Jose Manuel
Maron, Martine
Colombia; Conservation; Dinamica EGO; File format; File name; File size; Forest loss; Human Conflict; Illicit Crops; Land cover change; Uniform resource locator/link to file
The effect of armed conflict on deforestation in biodiverse regions across Earth remains poorly understood. Its association with factors like illegal crop cultivation can obscure its effect on deforestation patterns. We used Colombia, a global biodiversity hotspot with a complex political history, to explore the association of both armed conflict and coca cultivation with deforestation patterns. We generated spatial predictions of deforestation pressure based on the period 2000-2015 to understand how armed conflict and coca cultivation are associated with spatial patterns of deforestation and assess the spatial distribution of deforestation pressure induced by armed conflict and coca cultivation. Deforestation was positively associated with armed conflict intensity and proximity to illegal coca plantations. A deforestation model including 14 variables was 67% accurate in predicting deforestation at a 10 km² resolution; removing armed conflict and coca cultivations from the deforestation model reduced its accuracy by 6%. Deforestation pressure induced by armed conflict and coca cultivation was highest in Tumaco and Catatumbo regions and in la Macarena, Sierra Nevada and San Lucas mountains—all areas of high biodiversity and conservation importance. In some regions, lack of governance after the peace accords is increasing armed conflict, and our results suggest that those increases in conflict may increase deforestation in those areas. The methods used here can be replicated to help understand the complex ways in which armed conflict affects deforestation patterns in other regions.
title Emerging evidence that armed conflict and coca cultivation influence deforestation patterns
topic Colombia; Conservation; Dinamica EGO; File format; File name; File size; Forest loss; Human Conflict; Illicit Crops; Land cover change; Uniform resource locator/link to file
url https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.899573