Numerical simulations of the (de)stabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

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Main Authors: Feldmann, Johannes, Levermann, Anders, Mengel, Matthias
Format: Dataset Open Access
Language:en
Published: PANGAEA 2019
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author Feldmann, Johannes
Levermann, Anders
Mengel, Matthias
author_facet Feldmann, Johannes
Levermann, Anders
Mengel, Matthias
collection Datos científicos de ciencias marinas y ambientales
contents There is evidence that a self-sustaining ice discharge from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) has started, potentially leading to its disintegration. The associated sea level rise of more than 3m would pose a serious challenge to highly populated areas including metropolises such as Calcutta, Shanghai, New York City, and Tokyo. Here, we show that the WAIS may be stabilized through mass deposition in coastal regions around Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers. In our numerical simulations, a minimum of 7400 Gt of additional snowfall stabilizes the flow if applied over a short period of 10 years onto the region (−2 mm year−1 sea level equivalent). Mass deposition at a lower rate increases the intervention time and the required total amount of snow. We find that the precise conditions of such an operation are crucial, and potential benefits need to be weighed against environmental hazards, future risks, and enormous technical challenges.
format Dataset Open Access
id pangaea_https___doi_org_10_1594_PANGAEA_907702
institution PANGAEA
language en
publishDate 2019
publisher PANGAEA
record_format pangaea
spellingShingle Numerical simulations of the (de)stabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
Feldmann, Johannes
Levermann, Anders
Mengel, Matthias
instability; MULT; Multiple investigations; numerical modeling; Priority Programme 1158 Antarctic Research with Comparable Investigations in Arctic Sea Ice Areas; SPP1158; West_Antarctic_Ice_Sheet; West Antarctic Ice Sheet
There is evidence that a self-sustaining ice discharge from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) has started, potentially leading to its disintegration. The associated sea level rise of more than 3m would pose a serious challenge to highly populated areas including metropolises such as Calcutta, Shanghai, New York City, and Tokyo. Here, we show that the WAIS may be stabilized through mass deposition in coastal regions around Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers. In our numerical simulations, a minimum of 7400 Gt of additional snowfall stabilizes the flow if applied over a short period of 10 years onto the region (−2 mm year−1 sea level equivalent). Mass deposition at a lower rate increases the intervention time and the required total amount of snow. We find that the precise conditions of such an operation are crucial, and potential benefits need to be weighed against environmental hazards, future risks, and enormous technical challenges.
title Numerical simulations of the (de)stabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
topic instability; MULT; Multiple investigations; numerical modeling; Priority Programme 1158 Antarctic Research with Comparable Investigations in Arctic Sea Ice Areas; SPP1158; West_Antarctic_Ice_Sheet; West Antarctic Ice Sheet
url https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.907702